Thursday, October 29, 2009

Week 8 NFL Game Preview- Part 1

Miami at New York Jets
In a scheduling quirk, the Jets and Dolphins meet for the second time in four weeks.  However, this time, the Jets are coming in with injury concerns.  Both receivers Jerecho Cotchery and Braylon Edwards are banged up, and key cogs Leon Washington and Kris Jenkins are out for the season.  The numbers give the Jets a slight edge, but the injury concerns are too great for me.  Still, it should be a good game, but not as high scoring as the Week 5.  Final score 24-17 Miami.

New York Giants at Philadelphia
This has the makings of a classic NFC East matchup, as both teams are vying for first place.  The Giants have a slight edge in yards gained and allowed, and have done a better job at protecting the quarterback.  Both teams are good at harassing the quarterback.  The difference between these two teams is the red zone and turnovers.  The Giants have had issues scoring and giving up red zone touchdowns.  It's an issue I've mentioned since Week 5.  The Eagles are a whopping +11 in turnover differential, while the Giants are +2.  It should be a close, low-scoring matchup.  Final score 17-14 Philadelphia.

Denver at Baltimore
Another potentially close game.  Both teams are coming off bye weeks, do a relatively good job at protecting and pressuring the quarterback.  Baltimore has been better at converting red zone opportunities into touchdowns, while giving up way too many red zone chances with 21.  Turnovers are the difference, as Denver is +7, while Baltimore is  +2.  Final score 23-20 Denver.

Houston at Buffalo
This game should be a little closer than most people think.  Andre Johnson may not play this game due to a bruised lung, so it takes away a target from Matt Schaub.  Both teams give up too many hits to the quarterback, and too many touchdowns in the red zone.  The difference is red zone scoring.  Houston has scored on over 50% of its opportunities, while Buffalo is under 30% in their chances.  Final score 31-20 Houston.

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