Same breakdown as the previous two posts.
Atlanta at San Francisco
This is an intriguing matchup. The numbers indicate this should be a close game. The Falcons keep Matt Ryan clean and and have gained about 40 more yards per game. On the other side of the ball, the 49ers do an excellent job at pressuring the quarterback and allowed 100 fewer yards per game. Both teams have an excellent takeaway differential (+3 for Atlanta, +5 for San Francisco). In the end, San Francisco does just enough to win. Final score16-13 San Francisco.
Jacksoville at Seattle
Both teams allow their quarterbacks to be hit too often, and the Jaguars have a minimal yards gained per game advantage. The Seahawks have been more efficient defensively in the red zone, while the Jagsare much more effective scoring in the red zone. In the end, the turnover differential is the deciding factor between the two teams, as Jacksonville is +4, while Seattle is -4. Final score 31-21 Jacksonville.
New England at Denver
At the beginning of the season, I was sure this would be a cake walk for the Patriots. However, looking at the numbers, the Broncos have been much more efficient with their opportunities on both sides of the ball. The most surpising similarity is the yards gained per game is about ten yards per game, which is almost negligible. In the end, the Broncos have created double the turnovers of the Patriots. I think it will be close, but at home, the Broncos prevail. Final score 17-14 Denver.
Thursday, October 8, 2009
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