St. Louis at San Francisco
Looking at the numbers, I was surprised that both teams have gained about the same number of yards per game, and have allowed a moderate amount of pressure to their quarterback. The differences are on the defensive side of the ball. The 49ers have twice as many sacks, four times as many quarterback hits, and a +2 turnover differential. The Rams are -5 and have allowed 13 red zone chances (with a 38% conversion rate against), while giving up 80 more yards per game. This should be an easy win for the 49ers. Final score 24-3 San Francisco.
San Diego at Pittsburgh
This should be a tight game. Both teams have allowed pressure to their quarterback, while not harassing the opposing passer. The Chargers are +1 on the turnover differential, while the Steelers are -4, which is disconcerting for Pittsburgh fans. However, the numbers that alarm me the most are with San Diego and its red zone opportunities, both for and against. The Chargers have just a 27% conversion rate on their chances, while giving up 45% of their opponent's opportunities into touchdowns. I don't see Pittsburgh dropping a third straight game. Final score 31-28 Pittsburgh.
Green Bay at Minnesota
Monday's game, evidently, has some intrigue. Brett Favre against his former team for the first time. The numbers indicate that this should be a close game. Both teams have high sack rates, gained about the same number of yards, and each have converted on 50% or above on their red zone chances. The number that favors Green Bay is the turnover differential at +8. The numbers that favor the Vikings are they've doubled the Packers on quarterback hits and gained 70 more yards per game thus far this season. It should be close, but there should be carryover from last week's thrilling victory for the Vikings. Final score 28-24 Minnesota.
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