Friday, October 2, 2009

Week 4 Game Previews- Part 2

I'll break the games down the same way as yesterday's post.

Detroit at Chicago
First, my hat's off to Detroit for getting that victory last week, which has eluded them for nearly two years.  However, I don't see that trend continuing for them this week.  The Lions have allowed nearly 100 more yards per game, and have allowed a 58% red zone touchdown conversion rate to opponents.  Final score 27-17 Chicago.

Cincinnati at Cleveland
For the Bengals, this could possibly be a trap game following their impressive win against Pittsburgh last week.  However, I don't see that happening.  The Browns have only a 25% red zone rate in their few opportunities, while allowing a 53% conversion rate on the many they've given up.  Also, Cleveland has a whopping -7 turnover differential and has allowed 11 sacks.  This game should be a rout.  Final score 31-3 Cincinnati.

Seattle at Indianapolis
This is a battle between two good teams.  Both have given up about the same number of yards per game, and have done a solid job at harassing the opposing quarterback.  The Colts separate themselves with a +5 turnover differential and have allowed Peyton Manning to be hit just six times in just three games.  Additionally, the Seahawks are most likely playing without Matt Hasselbeck.  I don't see the Colts losing this one.  Final score 28-10 Indianapolis.

New York Giants at Kansas City
A clash of two teams with different objectives.  The Giants are gunning for another Super Bowl, while the Chiefs are in rebuilding mode.  I'd take the Giants based on yards alone.  Not only have they gained about 130 more per game, but have allowed about 120 fewer per game.  Also, the Chiefs have allowed eight sacks and an 88% red zone conversion rate.  Plus, the Giants have a +5 turnover differential.  This should be another blowout.  Final score 42-7 New York Giants.

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