If I were the GM- Seattle

This team is a disaster.  Before the season, I thought they'd bounce back with a healthy Matt Hasselbeck, the signing of TJ Houshmandzadeh, and their strong linebacking corps- Leroy Hill, Lofa Tatufu, and Aaron Curry.  However, I didn't account for another Hasselbeck injury (ribs) and regressiong (the Jake Delhomme impression in the final couple of games), the Walter Jones injury, and the ineffective coaching from Jim Mora, Jr- which led to his subsequent firing.  The hiring of Pete Carroll might be a mistake.  He was a great college coach, but was in ineffective in his previous NFL stints with the Patriots and Jets.  The coach they should have hired was a candidate they interviewed- Leslie Frasier.  He's the defensive coordinator from the Vikings.  The last defensive coordinator from the Vikings that was hired as a head coach was Mike Tomlin.  And, yes, he coached last season's Steelers to a Super Bowl victory.  I wish Carroll all the luck in the world, but I would have hired Frasier.  He's younger, and has had recent success on the NFL level.

Seattle's greatest strength is their linebacking corps.  They have talented running back in Justin Forsett, who can run and catch the ball out of the backfield.  Jon Carlson is a good young tight end, and the perfect target for the West Coast offense.  Their receiving corps has veteran talent in Houshmandzadeh and Nate Burleson.  Plus, second year receiver Deon Butler showed signs of improvement over the season.  They may or may not resign Deion Branch, who had a quiet return to relevance over the course of the season.

However, their weaknesses outweigh their strengths.  The Seahawks have long needed a future replacement for Matt Hasselbeck.  Seneca Wallace is a good backup, with Wildcat skills, and can play some receiver, but is not a long-term answer.  Their offensive line is in shambles, and need to replace left tackle Walter Jones yesterday.  Even though their defense created pressure last season, it was more blitzing and Patrick Kerney, who's regressed over the past couple of seasons.  Also, they could stand improve their defensive backfield.  Luckily, they have the six and fourteen picks. Offensive line is their greatest need, but Okung will be gone by the time they pick.  Jimmy Clausen would be the next player on my list- fitting their quarterback need.  If both are gone, a possibility if Kansas City or another team trades back, I would attempt to move back.  If that's the case, Derrick Morgan fits their defense line need.  At number 14, the Seahawks can take an offensive lineman, like a Bryan Bulaga to cover their offensive line need.  Then, they can focus on their other needs later on in the draft.

If I were the GM- Kansas City

The Chiefs started a massive rebuilding project last season.  While they made small steps last season, they are moving in the right direction.  Scott Pioli is a gifted talent evaluator, and made the shrewd hires for Charlie Weiss and Romeo Crennel for the coordinator spots.  They are still transitioning into a 3-4 defense, and improve the offensive line.

Kansas City found a gem in their backfield this season in Jamaal Charles.  They also have talented targets in Dwayne Bowe and the underrated pickup of Chris Chambers.  Quarterback Matt Cassel is a solid player to distribute the ball to those players.

Their biggest needs are on the defensive side of the ball, as I mentioned their transitioning into a 3-4 front.  Their safety position needs a massive overhaul.  They need to continue to get younger on the offensive line.  Also, a tight end to supplement their receivers, and a bigger running back to pair with Charles would be useful.

It would be a coup for the Chiefs if Eric Berry would drop to them at number five, which is possible based on the previous four teams' needs.  If they can't draft Berry. they should try to drop back to the number nine spot with Buffalo, with the understanding that they're going to draft quarterback Jimmy Clausen.  That way they can take either defensive end Derrick Morgan or linebacker Rolando McClain, and get additional draft choices.  Their process of rebuilding the defense will probably take at least one more draft to get enough components for them to have a successful unit.

If I were the GM- Washington

This organization went through a whole lot of change throughout this season.  Bringing in Allen and Shanahan to run the football operation was a smart idea.  Dan Snyder should cease his meddling with the football side of the equation with this group running things.

Washington was a Jekyll and Hyde team.  Their defense was very good- although they are moving into a 3-4 with Jim Haslett running the unit- while the offense wasn't, as their line and running backs suffered numerous injuries.  They have some players on defense with Brian Orakpo, Albert Haynesworth, Andre Carter, and LaRon Landry, of whom they can build around.  As much as I like London Fletcher, he's a 4-3 middle linebacker.  I think he'd wear down as a 3-4 inside linebacker, taking on more interior lineman over the course of the season.  They should try to work with him, before making a move to either trade or release him.

The offense needs an overhaul, which is where Shanahan comes into play.  They need to make a decision on retaining Jason Campbell.  I would keep him.  He would do well under the guidance of Shanahan.  Their second decision should be on Clinton Portis.  Does he have enough in the tank?  I think he's more of a complimentary back at this point of his career.  He's taken a lot hits over the years.  Their line is in shambles, and is their by far their biggest weakness.  Their greatest strength on the offensive side of the ball is the tight end position.  Chris Cooley should recover from his injury, and return to Pro Bowl-form.  Fred Davis and Todd Yoder were very productive in Cooley's absence, particularly Davis.  They should use that surplus to their advantage to acquire additional assets.

Their first move they should make after re-signing Campbell and restructuring Clinton Portis's contract is to trade Fred Davis to the St. Louis Rams for a pair of fourth round picks.  Though, I'd try to make the second fourth rounder have an escalator clause for Davis's performance.  Obviously, both teams have to settle on a base performance, then base the compensation of performance above the baseline.

In the draft, the Redskins should stay put and Okung if he's available.  He's the best tackle in the draft, and fits their greatest need.  If Campbell goes unsigned, they will probably take Bradford, since he's the top quarterback available- providing his shoulder is healthy.  If both players are gone, a player to consider is Eric Berry.  Considering the Redskins created the fewest turnovers in the league last season, a playmaker on the defense is not a terrible direction to go.

If I were the GM- Tampa Bay

The Bucs are certainly a team in flux.  Coach Raheem Morris seemed a little overmatched in the beginning of last season, as he fired his offensive coordinator.  Then, as the season progressed, he fired his defensive coordinator.  Since, Morris is so young, and wasn't a defensive coordinator, I'll cut him some slack, since he was learning on the job, and can grow into a good head coach.

Tampa Bay has an underrated quarterback situation.  Josh Freeman, who to some seemed to be a reach in the first round in the previous draft, sparked the offense, and led them to an upset of Green Bay.  His backup Josh Johnson was solid in his limited opportunities last season.  Running back Cadillac Williams was pleasant surprise, considering the disappointing season from free agent signee Derrick Ward.  Kellen Winslow Jr. is solid at the tight end position, and his back up Jerremy Stevens is not bad for a number two tight end.

Their weaknesses were in moving the ball, yards allowed, the red zone on both sides of the ball, creating pressure, and protecting the ball.  They were good at creating turnovers.  However, they took a lot of risks to create those turnovers, which led to a lot of big plays against them.  Their biggest needs are along the defensive line, wide receiver- they may lose Antonio Bryant in free agency, defensive backfield- Ronde Barber is getting long in the tooth, outside linebacker, and offensive line- their line is middle of the road.

Their top priority should be to move to number one to acquire Suh.  Getting someone to clog up the middle, and creating havoc at the quarterback's feet should limit the amount of risk the Bucs take on defense, thus allowing fewer big plays.  They do have an extra second round pick to use as bait for the Rams, so they can grab Suh.  If they don't succeed in trading up, they should stay put and take the best player available, either Eric Berry or Russell Okung.  Personally, I'd prefer Okung- the best lineman in the draft.  Though, I understand why someone would take Berry, and his amazing athletic ability.  In the second round, they could address the defensive line, defensive back, and or wide receiver, with the number 35 and 46 picks.  Another option is to trade back.  Perhaps, a team like San Francisco with two middle first rounders would want to move up to take Okung or Berry.  The Bucs could stockpile picks, say the number 13, a third and a fifth.  At 13, the Bucs could take Carlos Dunlap, Jason Pierre-Paul for help at the defensive end spot, Joe Hadden or Taylor Mays for the secondary, or Dez Bryant for the wide receiver spot.

If I were the GM- Detroit

The Lions improved this season, and probably would have been better if they weren't ravaged by the injury bug.  Jim Schwartz did an excellent job in his first season as a head coach, and is the correct man for the position.  Detroit had a solid draft in 2009 netting quarterback Matthew Stafford, tight end Brandon Pettigrew, and safety Louis Delmas.  Those are some nice cornerstones work around, especially with wide receiver Calvin Johnson and, albeit injured, running back Kevin Smith in the fold.

Since Stafford went number one overall in the past draft, they don't have a need at the position.  They have legitimate number one receiver in Johnson, so they could wait to develop a counterpart in a later round.  Considering Kevin Smith's injury, I would figure they have to make a play at another running back.  I wouldn't be comfortable with Maurice Morris and Aaron Brown as my top two backs entering the season.

All that stated, Detroit really needs to develop their lines.  Their protection issues led to a myriad of quarterback injuries, the fewest yards gained in the league, the most offensive turnovers, and diminished returns on red zone effectiveness.  On defense, they didn't create enough pressure, allowed too many yards, weren't stopping red zone scores, and didn't create enough turnovers.  

Serendipitously, this is a very deep draft for both the offensive and defensive lines.  If I'm running the Lions, I stay put at number two and select Gerald McCoy.  He's not quite as good as Suh, but he's close, and in most seasons he's a number one overall pick.  At number 34, I would look to bolster the O-line, and take the best player available, whether he be a tackle, guard, or center.  They need to protect Stafford.

If I were the GM- St. Louis

This is the first of a series of posts about the moves I would consider if I were the GM for each team.  I am a big believer in building through the draft, especially from the lines to the skill positions.  Only one exception being the quarterback position.  Also, with the current collective bargaining agreement at a precipice, and the complex rules regarding free agency, I'm not going to review potential free agents, especially since it should be used to supplement some holes, not as a cure of all ills.  I've broken down the roster, created a list of needs, and some suggestions to improve the rosters.

The Rams have a lot of needs.  Winning six games in three seasons will do that to a team.  I believe that they have the correct coach in Steve Spagnulo, but he needs players to coach.  Their biggest strengths are Steven Jackson at running back and James Lauinaitis at middle linebacker.  Those are their cornerstone players.  Quarterback is their biggest weakness, by far, which is telling because this team has a ton of needs.  The tight end position needs improvement, as well as, defensive line, defensive back, interior offensive line, wide receiver, and running back.

My first suggestion is to improve the tight end spot.  The Rams haven't had much production from the position over the past couple of seasons.  It's a position to fill to help develop a rookie quarterback, or a safety valve for one of the current quarterbacks. A player to target would be Fred Davis of the Washington Redskins.  Davis showed he can start in this league following the Chris Cooley injury, has great hands, a playmaker- something this offense lacks behind Steven Jackson, and is probably looking to start after the season he's had.  I would trade a fourth rounder, perhaps a pair of 4's to get him.  Following the proposed trade, the Rams have two players for a defense to be worried about.  They still need a quarterback.

That leads to my second suggestion.  This really comes down to the scouting reports and medical records, which nobody outside the NFL organizations have access to.  If my scouts tell me Ndamukong Suh is the can't miss player that he's touted as, then I take him number one, and take a Colt McCoy at number 33.  However, if he's viewed as an equal to Gerald McCoy, and my scouts tell me Sam Bradford is healthy and rated higher than Matthew Stafford and Mark Sanchez were last season, then I swap picks with Tampa Bay, pick up the number 46 selection, a fifth rounder, and perhaps a fourth next year.  The extra selections give me the flexibility to address the additional needs I stated earlier.  Plus, I have my quarterback of the future, a tight end to throw to, and I replenish the pick(s) I gave up to acquire Fred Davis.  Both ways of working with the number one pick work for me.  It comes down to my scouts- which I would trust because they're in the field kicking the tires on these players- and their reports.

The Donovan McNabb Dilema

As an Eagles fan, I've heard all the scuttlebutt from the talking heads. Here's my opinion:
-McNabb has been the best quarterback in Eagles history- the numbers speak for themselves- it's indisputable.
-McNabb has hit his ceiling- his peaking being 2004- where he was still a threat as a runner and a passer.
-He is at the tail-end of his prime, but still a starting-caliber quarterback in the NFL.
-His strengths are throwing the deep ball, limiting turnovers, keeping plays alive, and he's streaky.
-His weaknesses are throwing short into tight spots, throwing to only wide open receivers(generally, a receiver a step or two away from the defender), and he's streaky.
-The list of starters in the league I'd rather have right now: Peyton Manning, Drew Brees, Tom Brady, Aaron Rodgers, Philip Rivers, Matt Schaub, Ben Roethlisberger, Eli Manning, Kurt Warner, and Brett Favre (especially if the last two don't retire) Also, I could be talked into inserting Tony Romo ahead of Donovan, but that's another conversation.
-10, possibly 11 quarterbacks I would rather have- meaning he's no longer a top-ten player, at the position, but still a solid player. He's number 12, at the worst- still a playoff quarterback.
- Analyzing his strengths and weaknesses and comparing him to the other quarterbacks, the Eagles need to do one of two things: build the offense around his strengths or trade him and annoint Kevin Kolb the starter.
- Since building around his strengths would call for a complete change in philosphy- an emphasis on the run and play-action passing- and throwing bombs to stud receivers DeSean Jackson and Jeremy Maclin- plus, Andy Reid inking a three-year extention, means they should trade him and annoint Kolb the starter.
-What kind of compensation should the Birds seek? I'd say at least three draft picks, including a first rounder, maybe a player (preferably a defensive player that can cover on the backend or pressure the passer)
- What teams have a quarterback need? St. Louis, Oakland, Buffalo, Cleveland, Washington, Seattle, possibly Denver, San Francisco, and Carolina.
- Most likely destination? Cleveland- the Tom Heckert-Mike Holmgren connection, and they'll want to get West-Coast players into their system. Who's a better quarterback on the market?
- Sneaky destination?- San Francisco- they have two number one picks, and could use one to get Donovan, and the other to patch up the line. They threw the ball a lot in the second half of the season, and McNabb is a major upgrade of Alex Smith.

Championship Weekend Review

New York Jets at Indianapolis
The final score was not indicative of how close this game really was. Good news for Jets fans they'll be a contender for some time. The bad news- they weren't quite ready. That will come once Mark Sanchez matures as a quarterback, and can lead fourth quarter comebacks in hostile environments, which I believe he will evolve into that player in the next two-three seasons. Back to the Colts. Peyton Manning had another unbelievable game, especially following such a rocky start. He's just a Super Bowl away from adding another notch to his legacy. Now, to the game. Manning took two more sacks and one more hit than Sanchez, who was kept relatively clean. The Jets were perfect in their single chance in the red zone, but gave up three touchdowns in six opportunities- way too many chances for such a talented offense. The turnover battle was even, but the big number was the 70 more yards the Colts gained. Once Manning figured out Rex Ryan's blitz scheme, which took him the better part of the first half, Indianapolis never looked back.

Minnesota at New Orleans
This was a great game, but I need to address two crowds. To the Brett Favre haters: the pick at the end of regulation was damning, but they still had a shot to come up with a stop in overtime, had a great game prior to the throw, and he was injured, to boot. To the Brett Favre appologists: the pick was an ill-advised throw, because he had options- receiver on the sideline, run 5-10 yards to assist the kicker, or throw it away (Granted, a 57 yarder is a tough kick, but Longwell has a strong leg, and kicking in a dome- no weather complications in play.) Congrats to the Saints for making their first trip to the Super Bowl, and for taking advantage of the opportunities the Vikings gave them, since they should have lost the game. Favre took six official hits, but was pressured throughout the game, while Brees took only four. The red zone, total yards, and turnovers tell the story. The Vikings gained 220 more yards. In most cases, such a yard discrepency leads to a blowout. However, the Saints were a perfect three for three in the red zone, while the Vikings went four for six. The two non-touchdowns were turnovers around the ten yard line. Those takeaways gave New Orleans life to extend the game and their oppoturnities of winning. On the day, the Saints were +4 in the turnover department, hence their victory. Two great teams with solid coaching and great quarterbacks, I'm looking forward to the Super Bowl!

Championship Weekend Preview

New York Jets at Indianapolis

The playoff darlings versus their benefactor.  If anyone can recall, Indy laying down in week 16 led the Jets to making the playoffs, since they needed to win their final two games.  Will it come back to bite them?  It very well could.  The Jets have limited their mistakes, forced turnovers, and took advantage of those turnovers.  Both lines protect very well.  Mark Sanchez has taken over double the sacks that Peyton Manning has taken.  That's due to Manning's quick decision making and releasing the ball.  I was surprised to see that the Colts have generate more sacks and hits.  Not many more, but it was a surprise, considering that Rex Ryan has been known to unleash the hounds over the course of a game.  The Colts have averaged 40 more yards per game, while allowing an eye-popping 90 more per game.  That's how stingy the Jets defense is, yet Darrelle Revis and Bart Scott are the only ones who get the pub.  (Where's the support for David Harris?  You would think the New York media would have dubbed him the next Ray Lewis by now.)  Indianapolis is much more proficient at scoring red zone touchdowns, while the reverse is true on the defensive side of the ball for the Jets.  The Jets are +1 and the Colts are +5 over the course of the season.  However, the Sanchez turnover machine hasn't appeared yet- I know he threw a pick last week, but not multiple game changing turnovers- but that has break at some point.  Also, Indy was leading before Manning was removed for the whole half.  Sanchez couldn't move the ball against second and third teamers.  Those scores the Jets had were on defense and special teams in the second half.  I think the game will be low-scoring, but the Jets have to score more than 21 points to win this one, because Manning should lead three touchdown scoring drives for the Colts.  Final score 21-17 Indianapolis.

Minnesota at New Orleans

This is the game every fan of the NFL has been salivating for to occur for months, except if you are a fan of Philadelphia, Dallas, Arizona, or Green Bay.  It features two great quarterbacks, with solid receiving corps, and terrific running games.  There are star players all over the field.  What more can you want out of an NFL game?!  New Orleans protects much better than Minnesota, while the Vikings have created more pressure over the course of the season than the Saints.  An important note, will be the effectiveness of the blitz for the Saints, because if they can get to Brett Favre their odds of winning improve dramatically.  On the other hand, the Vikings front four are the best defensive line in the league.  If they can pressure Brees without sending extra pass rushers, Minnesota's odds improve dramatically.  In terms of total yards, the Saints have gained 20 more per game, while allowing 50 more.  These two teams are two of the best in the league scoring touchdowns in the red zone.  Minnesota gets a slight edge, because they are more efficient.  On the defensive side of the ball, the Vikings have a big edge at preventing red zone scores.  Turnovers is where it's tricky to pick one.  Minnesota has protected the ball, with ten fewer turnovers, but there are two caveats here.  Favre's been known to throw picks in big games, and Adrian Peterson had fumblitis over the course of his career.  Also, the Saints are more effective at creating turnovers.  Let's give a slight edge to the Saints.  I see this as a high-scoring affair, in which either team can win.  Final score 35-31 Minnesota. 

Divisional Weekend Review- Part 2

Dallas at Minnesota

Talk about backing the wrong horse!  I figured either Dallas or the Jets were the teams most capable of pulling off the upset, and I went with the better quarterback.  I was wrong.  Romo looked like the Romo of playoffs past.  He had a terrible game with three turnovers, and appeared shellshocked for most of the game.  His line didn't help him any allowing six sacks on 10 hits.  Too bad, because their defense did create pressure three sacks on seven hits.  However, Minnesota dominated with 75 more yards on offense, went 50% in the red zone, allowing just one chance for the Cowboys, who couldn't convert it into a touchdown, and were +3 in the turnover battle.  This leads us to a juicy NFC Championship showdown with the Saints.

New York Jets at San Diego

I keep picking against the Jets- for the same reason the Sanchez turnover machine- and they keep winning.  Go figure!  Their defense kept them in the game, because they did not allow the deep ball, which makes the Chargers offense move.  They won despite allowing the Chargers to go 67% in the red zone and allowing 80 more yards of offense.  The big difference was their +1 advantage in the turnover battle, and three missed Nate Kaeding field goals.  I'm excited to see the rematch between the Jets and Colts, since it was Indy that allowed them to make the playoffs for laying down in Week 16.

Divisional Weekend Review- Part 1

Arizona at New Orleans

Wow!  Total domination by the Saints- highlighted by the angry running style of Reggie Bush.  Both teams had the same number of hits, but New Orleans was able to manage one sack.  Every other key facet of the game was controlled by the Saints.  They were perfect in their three trips to the red zone, held the Cardinals to 50% in their two chances, gained 60 more yards, were +2 in the turnover battle, and held the ball for 13 additional minutes.  They laid down the hammer, possibly ending Kurt Warner's stellar career.  That bone-jarring hit he took in the second quarter following the pick, resusitated those thoughts rather quickly, I'd imagine.  Hopefully, Warner will give it a go in the 2010 season, because he's a joy to watch.  At least we are able to see the new greatest show on turf Saints next week.

Baltimore at Indianapolis

Nice game for the Colts.  They needed to give an answer to their critics for laying down for the final two games of the regular season.  Though some critics won't be pleased until they win two more games, which is understandable.  The Ravens were able to create pressure, and contain the vaunted Indy offense on Saturday.  They hit Peyton Manning seven times, including two sacks, and held their offense to 275 yards of offense.  Meaning they won the pressure battle, and both teams were even with yards.  The difference was the red zone and turnovers.  Baltimore didn't capitalize and score touchdowns on their two opportunities, while the Colts went 67% on their chances.  Also, Indianapolis was +3 in the turnover department.  They were saved on a big return from Ed Reed, on strip and hustle of Pierre Garcon, who hasn't received enough credit for making that play.  Speaking of Reed, hopefully his neck injury heals enough to get one more season out of him before he calls it a career.  He's fun to watch.

Divisional Weekend Preview- Part 2

Dallas at Minnesota

This is a very intriguing matchup, and be a good test for Dallas.  They've played great for the past month, whilst the Vikings have floundered.  Minnesota has allowed five more hits, but both teams have allowed the same number of sacks.  These are two of the better pressure teams in the league, but the Vikings have the slightest of edges.  They have one more hit and two more sacks than the Cowboys.  Dallas has gained 20 more yards per game, while allowing 10 more.  The Vikings much more efficient at red zone scoring, and prevented fewer red zone touchdowns.  The turnover advantage is slightly in Minnesota's favor.  All that has been said, I'm going on a limb and picking the Cowboys.  They have the look of a Super Bowl winner.  Final score 31-21 Dallas.

New York Jets at San Diego

I'm sure the Chargers were rooting for the Patriots to win on Sunday, because then they wouldn't have to face the Jets.  Running teams have given San Diego fits all season long, and the Jets happen to be the best running team in the league.  Both teams have good offensive lines.  New York has allowed more sacks, while the Chargers have allowed more hits.  Defensively, the Jets create much more pressure, even if the sack numbers are similar- they've had 22 more quarterback hits over the course of the season.  In terms of yards, the Chargers have gained 40 more per game, but have allowed 70 more per game.  In the red zone, San Diego is much more effective on the offensive end, while New York is stingier defensively.  The difference is turnovers.  The Chargers have protected the ball much better over the course of the season- committing 13 fewer in the regular season.  Also, I don't see how the Jets would be able to make a comeback if they fall behind early.  Final score 24-17 San Diego.

Divisional Weekend Preview- Part 1

Arizona at New Orleans

I like this matchup.  Two veteran, cagy quarterbacks with a nice compliment of receivers going at it.  New Orleans protects Drew Brees, than Kurt Warner gets from his line.  On the defensive front, the pressure is similar- Arizona has more sacks, but the Saints have more hits.  The Saints averaged 60 more yards per game on offense, while giving up 10 more per game.  It is worth noting Arizona blew up gained 531 last week, while allowing 493.  Those stats could be an abberation, but also show what they are capable of.  The Cardinals have been much more efficient scoring red zone touchdowns, and are slightly more effective at preventing those scores.  The biggest category-turnovers- is in New Orleans favor by a long shot.  They were +11 on the season.  I see this as a high-scoring affair with the Saints prevailing at the end.  An Arizona victory would not be surprising, though.  Final score 38-35 New Orleans.

Baltimore at Indianapolis

The Ravens had a nice victory last week, using mainly their ground game, since Joe Flacco's injury has limited his effectiveness.  Indianapolis enters this game with a bitter taste in their mouths, due to management's decision to NOT go for perfection.  The Colts protect much better, and have generated slightly more pressure.  Offensively, the Colts have a slight edge in yards gained, while the Ravens have an advantage at preventing yardage.  The Colts are much more effective scoring in the red zone, while Baltimore is stingy at preventing those scores.  Both teams protect the ball well, but the Ravens create more turnovers.  Overall, I think this will be a lower-scoring game, but Flacco's injury scares me, especially if there's an early deficit to overcome.  Final score 21-17 Indianapolis.

Wildcard Weekend Review-Part 2

Baltimore at New England

Another solid performance by the Ravens- led by Ray Rice, Willis McGahee, and standout defense.  The Patriots really missed Wes Welker, despite the admirable performance by Julian Edelman.  Also, the big run by Rice on the first offensive play set the tone for the rest of the game.  Baltimore was able to generate pressure with three sacks on three hits, and kept Joe Flacco clean.  New England was perfect on their two trips to the red zone.  While the Ravens went 60%, they had three more chances for red zone touchdowns.  Two numbers that also prove Baltimore's dominance on the defensive end: 196 and four.  The first stat is the number of yards gained by the Patriots, and four is the number of turnovers the Ravens forced.  Nice win for the Ravens.

Green Bay at Arizona

Finally, a game that was close!  Boy were my predictions off!  At least I hit on 50% of the winners.  This was an exciting game, as both teams excelled in the red zone (Green Bay 83% and Arizona 71%).  In fact, Green Bay recovering the onside kick in the third quarter was the key to their turnaround- almost pulling off the upset.  Arizona dominated the stats.  The Cardinals had five sacks on 10 hits, gained 40 more yards on offense, and went +2 in the turnover battle.  Big win for the Cardinals.

Wildcard Weekend Review-Part 1

New York Jets at Cincinnati

Dominant performance from the Jets.  They had a great game plan, and their running game was sensational.  Shonn Greene appears ready to steal the reigns from Thomas Jones.  Ok.  Enough fawning.  The Jets harassed Carson Palmer with three sacks on four hits, and their line not only dominated from a run-blocking prospective, only allowed just on hit on Mark Sanchez.  New York was more effective in the red zone 50%, compared to 33%, gained 70 more yards on offense, and won the turnover battle at +2.  Overall, a nice performance by this young New York team.

Philadelphia at Dallas

Masterful win by the Cowboys.  The Eagles had no answers for them on either side of the ball.  Dallas doubled the pressure on Donovan McNabb to that Philadelphia created on Tony Romo.  Philadelphia was perfect in its one red zone chance, while the Cowboys were 50%- on six opportunities.  A team that has six red zone chances in a game is probably going to win- let alone a payoff game.  The Cowboys gained 80 more yards, forced four turnovers- for a +3 ratio, and held the ball for 19 more minutes.  Huge win for Dallas's morale.  It wouldn't surprise me if the Cowboys takeoff and win the Super Bowl.  Also, it wouldn't surprise me if they lost next week- Minnesota is a good team.

Wildcard Weekend Preview- Part 2

Baltimore at New England

The only game this weekend that's not a repeat from last week.  However, both teams met earlier this season, so they are somewhat familiar with one another.  Baltimore has allowed slightly more pressure, but many more sacks.  This is due to Tom Brady's ability to feel the pressure, and release his passes just prior to the hit.  Defensively, both generate similar pressure.  The Patriots have gained 50 more yards per game, while allowing 20 more per game.  Baltimore is slightly more effective scoring red zone touchdowns, and is way more effective at preventing them.  Both sides protect the ball well, but the Ravens create more turnovers.  It will be close, but the Ravens prevail.  Final score 28-24 Baltimore.

Green Bay at Arizona

I have a feeling this one will be played a little differently than last week.  Green Bay went for the win- and psychological edge- while the Cardinals showed nothing, playing backups on a vanilla game plan.  Both teams allow way too many hits, but Aaron Rodgers has taken more than Kurt Warner and almost three times as many sacks.  The Packers have gained 40 more yards on offense, but the bigger number is the 60 yards per game more allowed by the Cardinals.  Arizona is slightly more effective scoring in the red zone, and better at preventing red zone scores.  The biggest advantage is the turnover battle.  Green Bay is best in the league at protecting the ball and generating turnovers, while Arizona is -7 on the season.  That stat is tough to ignore.  Final score 31-28 Green Bay.

Wildcard Weekend Preview- Part 1

New York Jets at Cincinnati

I believe all the games will be close this weekend.  This one is no exception.  Both teams play solid defense, and run the ball well.  Protection is about even, as the Bengals have allowed more hits and the Jets have allowed more sacks.  The Bengals have created more pressure with more sacks and more hits.  The yards gained is virtually even, as is red zone touchdown.  The Jets allowed 50 fewer yards game.  Their red zone conversion rate against at 42% is slightly better than Cincinnati's at 48%.  Turnover differential is close.  The Jets are +1, while Cincinnati is even.  However, New York has committed five more turnovers over the course of the season.  A lot people are picking the Jets, and it's more on their blowout over a vanilla Bengals team last week.  I see it slightly in their favor from a numbers prospective.  I'm choosing Cincinnati for the three reasons.  The return of Domata Peko is key for the Bengals.  He's their run stuffer, which is important to slowing New York's running game.  A fresh Cedric Benson, following the week off, will be able to pound the Jets front.  And the most importantly, the quarterbacks.  People forget that Mark Sanchez is a.) just a rookie, b.) turned the ball over 20 times, and c.) Carson Palmer, right now, is a much better quarterback.  That said, it will be a low-scoring affair.  Final score 17-13 Cincinnati.

Philadelphia at Dallas

Another NFC East showdown.  These teams are closer than last week's game indicated.  The Eagles protect better, while Dallas generates greater pressure.  The Cowboy have gained 40 more yards per game, but the defenses have allowed approximately the same number of yards.  Red zone touchdowns are also similar, though the Cowboys have a slight edge.  The strengths of these two teams are in the form of red zone defense (Dallas) and turnover differential (Philadelphia).  The crux of the game is quarterback play- meaning Donovan McNabb hits the big play or Tony Romo protecting the ball.  Right now, I give a very minimal edge to Romo.  This should be a high-scoring affair, because I think Andy Reid will commit to the run more than 10 times (that's kind because McNabb had two scrambles).  In the end, Dallas has a few more plusses and momentum.  Final score 38-37 Dallas.

All Under Appreciated Team- Specialists

P- Mat McBriar Dal- Very under the radar weapon for the Cowboys.  Just had 72 punts on the season.  He was tenth in average with 45.1 yards per punt.  It's the net that's impressive- 39.9, meaning that returners average just five yards a return.  

K- Ryan Longwell Min- Had a 92.6% accuracy on all of his kicks.  Has range- hitting both his attempts over 50 yards.  Anyone worried about kicking in the dome, well he started his career in Green Bay.

Returner- Johnny Knox Chi- Considered Percy Harvin, but he's a known commodity with his play-making ability.  Knox is one of the faster returners in the league.  He was second in the league in kickoff return average, and had a return score.

All Under Appreciated Team- Defense

DE- Andre Carter Was- Vastly underrated pass rusher from a terribly underrated defense.  He had 11 sacks, three forced fumbles, and 62 tackles from his DE spot.

DT- Aubrayo Franklin SF- One of the best run-stoppers in the game.  Constantly takes on double teams to free up Patrick Willis to make plays.  In fact, Willis has made a public plea for the 49ers to re-sign Franklin in the off-season.

DT- Kelly Gregg Bal- Very good player.  Doesn't get the press of Ray Lewis, Ed Reed, Terrell Suggs, or even line mate Haloti Ngata.  He's an unsung hero, who had 63 tackles and three sacks for one of the best run defenses in the league.

DE/OLB- Aaron Schobel Buf- Tough choice for this spot.  Considered Will Smith and Calais Campbell, as well.  Schobel wins the day due to his versatility.  He had 10 sacks, an interception, three forced fumbles, and 56 tackles in a talented defense decimated by injuries.  On a 4-3, I'd have Schobel play end, and 3-4 linebacker.

OLB- Tamba Hali KC- I considered Shaun Phillips, but he has more notoriety than Hali.  Too bad he plays for the Chiefs, or he'd gave a greater following.  Good thing for Kansas City is they can build the 3-4 around his skill-set.  He 8.5 sacks, 62 tackles, and four forced fumbles.

ILB- David Harris NYJ- Another player snubbed from the Pro Bowl.  He's a jack-of-all-trades.  Top ten in the league with 127 tackles, and supplemented that with 5.5 sacks, two picks, and two forced fumbles on the best defense in the league.  There are fabulous players not named Darrelle Revis in New York.

MLB- James Laurinaitis StL- An Ohio State linebacker with actual contributions to an NFL franchise.  All kidding aside, he's had a monster season with 120 tackles, two sacks, two interceptions, one forced fumble and one recovery.  Yes, I have two inside linebackers, but that's because there are numerous 3-4 and 4-3 teams.

CB- Leon Hall Cin- Tough call between him and Jonathan Joseph for the number one corner, but his numbers are slightly better.  He tied for fifth in the league with 6 picks, was third in the league with 24 passes defensed, and had 71 tackles to boot.

CB- Jonathan Joseph Cin- Considered Sheldon Brown, but Joseph has played a cut above this season.  He was tied for fifth in interceptions, fifth in passes defensed, and 69 tackles.

FS- Brandon Meriweather NE- The Patriots have been passed on to death, so this pick seems counter-intuitive, but he's one of the guys they're building around on that side of the ball.  He's had five picks, two forced fumbles, 83 tackles on the season.

SS- Bernard Pollard Hou- New England & Kansas City fans will hate this pick for different reasons.  Pollard has a knack for being around the ball.  He had 102 tackles, 1.5 sacks, 4 interceptions, one forced fumble, and three recoveries.  Very quietly put up a solid season.

All Under Appreciated Team- Offense

These are players who've had fantastic seasons, but for one reason or another failed to garner support to make the Pro Bowl.

QB- Ben Roethlisberger Pit- This was a close call between him and Matt Schaub.  Big Ben has a better rating (100.5 to 98.6) and averages 8.55 yards per attempt, compared to 8.18 from Schaub.  His percentage was lower (66.6 to 67.9), but the man has received less credit for his two Super Bowl rings, than he should.

RB- Jamaal Charles KC- Talk about under appreciated.  He should have been the starter from day one.  All he did once he got the job was average 5.9 yards per carry, and gain 1120 yards- in basically half a season

FB- Lousaka Polite Mia- Between him and Ahmad Hall.  Polite gets the nod, because three backs had solid seasons behind his lead blocks.  Has a reputation around the league as the best blocking back.  Makes great contact at the point of attack.

WR- Vincent Jackson SD- Averages over 17 yards per catch, which places him top five in the league, & his nine scores tie him for tenth.  Doesn't get as much pub, due to playing on the West Coast, along with Philip Rivers, LaDanian Tomlinson, and Antonio Gates.

WR- Steve Smith NYG- Had a nice coming out party earlier in the season.  Lost amongst the turmoil for the Giants was his consistency.  The best way to illustrate how good of a season he had is the following stat.  He had six more catches than Andre Johnson on 11 fewer targets.

TE- Brent Celek Phi- Tough call between him and Heath Miller.  Each had the same number of catches, and Celek had many more targets.  The difference was the big play.  Celek had 16 catches that gained 20 or more yards, scored two more touchdowns, and averaged 2.4 more yards per reception.

LT- Mike Roos Ten- He's the best left tackle in football. And he blocked for a 2000 yard rusher.  How did he not make the Pro Bowl?

LG- Todd Herremans Phi- He solidified the Eagles offensive line once he returned from injury.  Jason Peters gets the press, but Herremans is the glue to that line.

C- Ryan Kalil Car- I've noted numerous times in this space that he's the best center in football, and he was boned out of a Pro Bowl birth.  He's more evidence, he blocked for not one, but two 1100 yard rushers.

RG- Bobbie Williams Cin- The Bengals deserved to have a Pro Bowler on their line, based on the results of their running game.  Williams is the standout in this group.

RT- Phil Loadholt Min-  The 2009 rookie class has been impressive.  This spot was between him and Michael Oher.  However, this spot is reserved to give players notoriety.  Oher has had a movie based upon his life.  Great story, by the way.  Loadholt also had to protect a 40 year old legend.

Andre Dawson

I know this is a football blog, but the MLB Hall of Fame vote was just announced, and the Hawk is in.  Congrats!  I'm glad, because, as a child, I remember asking my father what batter scared him the most against the Phillies.  Without hesitation, he said, "Andre Dawson.  He's a Hall of Famer."  Guys I think deserve it are Roberto Alomar, Barry Larkin, Tim Raines, Bert Blyleven, Mark McGwire, Alan Trammell, and Dale Murphy.

2009 Season Power Rankings

This is based upon the numbers compiled over the season.  One team it doesn't do justice for is San Diego.  Based upon visual evidence and record, that's a top three team, with a legitimate chance of winning the Super Bowl.  Also, I think Tennessee is a little low.

1. Minnesota

2. New Orleans

3. Green Bay

4. Baltimore

5. Dallas

6. New England

7. Indianapolis

8. New York Jets

9. Philadelphia

10. Denver

11. Cincinnati

12. Houston

13. San Francisco

14. San Diego

15. Arizona

16. Pittsburgh

17. Atlanta

18. Carolina

19. Miami

20. New York Giants

21. Washington

22. Tennessee

23. Chicago

24. Cleveland

25. Tampa Bay

26. Kansas City

27. Seattle

28. Jacksonville

29. Buffalo

30. Oakland

31. Detroit

32. St. Louis

2009 Fantasy Overview- TE

Here are the top 20 TE:

1. Dallas Clark

2. Vernon Davis

3. Antonio Gates

4. Brent Celek

5. Tony Gonzalez

6. Kellen Winslow, Jr.

7. Visanthe Shiancoe

8. Heath Miller

9. Jason Witten

10. Greg Olsen

11. John Carlson

12. Todd Heap

13. Zach Miller, Oak

14. Kevin Boss

15. Jermichael Finley

16. Owen Daniels

17. Fred Davis

18. Jeremy Shockey

19. Benjamin Watson

20. Marcedes Lewis

2009 Fantasy Overview- WR

Here are the top 40 WR's:

1. Andre Johnson

2. Randy Moss

3. DeSean Jackson

4. Miles Austin

5. Reggie Wayne

6. Larry Fitzgerald

7. Vincent Jackson

8. Brandon Jackson

9. Roddy White

10. Wes Welker

11. Steve Smith, NYG

12. Marques Colston

13. Chad Ochocinco

14. Sidney Rice

15. Santonio Holmes

16. Hines Ward

17. Derrick Mason

18. Steve Smith Car,

19. Greg Jennings

20. Robert Meachem

21. Donald Driver

22. Percy Harvin

23. Anquan Boldin

24. Mike Sims-Walker

25. Calvin Johnson

26. Hakeem Nicks

27. Mario Manningham

28. Terrell Owens

29. Austin Collie

30. Pierre Garcon

31. TJ Houshmandzadeh

32. Mike Wallace

33. Roy Williams

34. Santana Moss

35. Chris Chambers

36. Jeremy Maclin

37. Nate Burleson

38. Jerecho Cotchery

39. Devery Henderson

40. Lee Evans

2009 Fantasy Overview- RB

Here's the top 40 RB's this season.

1. Chris Johnson

2. Adrian Peterson

3. Maurice Jones-Drew

4. Ray Rice

5. Thomas Jones

6. Ricky Williams

7. Frank Gore

8. Ryan Grant

9. Joseph Addai

10. Steven Jackson

11. DeAngelo Williams

12. Cedric Benson

13. Jonathan Stewart

14. Rashard Mendenhall

15. Pierre Thomas

16. LaDanian Tomlinson

17. Michael Turner

18. Jamaal Charles

19. Matt Forte

20. Marian Barber

21. Kevin Smith

22. Fred Jackson

23. Tim Hightower

24. Knowshon Moreno

25. Cadillac Williams

26. Brandon Jacobs

27. Laurence Maroney

28. Ahmad Bradshaw

29. Beanie Wells

30. Ronnie Brown

31. Jerome Harrison

32. Darren Sproles

33. Steve Slaton

34. Justin Forsett

35. LeSean McCoy

36. Willis McGahee

37. Reggie Bush

38. Julius Jones

39. Jason Snelling

40. Mike Bell

2009 Fantasy Overview- QB

Here are the top 20 QB's this season:

1. Aaron Rodgers

2. Drew Brees

3. Peyton Manning

4. Tom Brady

5. Philip Rivers

6. Matt Schaub

7. Tony Romo

8. Brett Favre

9. Ben Roethlisberger

10. Eli Manning

11. Donovan McNabb

12. Kurt Warner

13. Carson Palmer

14. Joe Flacco

15. Kyle Orton

16. Jay Cutler

17. David Garrard

18. Jason Campbell

19. Matt Ryan

20. Matt Cassel

Predictions

I'll break down the standings, and compare the records to my predictions.  My prediction for record is in parenthesis.  I nailed New York Jets, Tennessee, San Diego, Tampa Bay, and Atlanta.  I was close with New England, Miami, Buffalo, Cleveland, Houston, Jacksonville, Philadelphia, Green Bay, Chicago, Arizona, San Francisco, and St. Louis.  I completely whiffed on Pittsburgh, Cincinnati, Denver, New York Giants, Dallas, and Seattle.

AFC East

1. New England 10-6 (12-4)

2. New York Jets 9-7 (9-7)

3. Miami 7-9 (8-8)

4. Buffalo 6-10 (7-9)

Cemtral

1. Cincinnati 10-6 (6-10)

2. Baltimore 9-7 (11-5)

3. Pittsburgh 9-7 (13-3)

4. Cleveland 5-11 (4-12)

South

1. Indianapolis 14-2 (11-5)

2. Houston 10-6 (9-7)

3. Tennessee 8-8 (8-8)

4. Jacksonville 7-9 (6-10)

West

1. San Diego 13-3 (13-3)

2. Denver 8-8 (4-12)

3. Oakland 5-11 (3-13)

4. Kansas City 6-10 (4-12)

NFC East

1. Dallas 11-5 (8-8)

2. Philadelphia 11-5 (10-6)

3. New York Giants 8-8 (11-5)

4. Washington 4-12 (6-10)

North

1. Minnesota 12-4 (9-7)

2. Green Bay 11-5 (10-6)

3. Chicago 7-9 (8-8)

4. Detroit 2-14 (4-12)

South

1. New Orleans 13-3 (11-5)

2. Atlanta 9-7 (9-7)

3. Carolina 8-8 (6-10)

4. Tampa Bay 3-13 (3-13)

West

1. Arizona 10-6 (9-7)

2. San Francisco 8-8 (7-9)

3. Seattle 5-11 (12-4)

4. St. Louis 2-14 (1-15)

Week 17 Fantasy Review- TE

1. Zach Miller, Jax (No Ranking)

2. Visanthe Shiancoe (6)

3. Greg Olsen (15)

4. Joel Dreessen (No Ranking)

5. Vernon Davis (12)

6. Jason Witten (1)

7. Heath Miller (2)

8. Justin Peelle (No Ranking)

9. Zach Miller, Oak (10)

10. Brent Celek (3)

11. Jermichael Finely (19)

12. Antonio Gates (No Ranking)

13. Jon Carlson (7)

14. Desmond Clark (No Ranking)

15. Todd Yoder (No Ranking)

16. Dallas Clark (No Ranking)

17. Kellen Winslow, Jr. (8)

18. Todd Heap (5)

19. Tony Fasano (No Ranking)

20. Fred Davis (9) 

Week 17 Fantasy Review- WR

1. Sidney Rice (3)

2. Jabar Gaffney (No Ranking)

3. Devin Aromashadu (12)

4. Patrick Crayton (No Ranking)

5. Brad Smith (No Ranking)

6. Malcom Floyd (No Ranking)

7. Calvin Johnson (16)

8. Davone Bess (39)

9. Terrell Owens (No Ranking)

10. Roddy White (7)

11. Dwayne Jarrett (No Ranking)

12. Jacoby Jones (No Ranking)

13. Mike Wallace (No Ranking)

14. Brian Hartline (No Ranking)

15. Brandon Stokely (No Ranking)

16. Bryant Johnson (No Ranking)

17. Lee Evans (No Ranking)

18. Joshua Cribbs (No Ranking)

19. Malcolm Kelly (No Ranking)

20. Julian Edelman (No Ranking)

21. Brandon Lloyd (No Ranking)

22. Jerecho Cotchery (30)

23. Miles Austin (4)

24. Chaz Schilens (No Ranking)

25. Mushin Mohammed (No Ranking)

26. Chris Chambers (No Ranking)

27. Nate Washington (No Ranking)

28. Randy Moss (2)

29. Antonio Bryant (27)

30. Deion Branch (No Ranking)

31. Larry Fitzgerald (10)

32. Devin Hester (No Ranking)

33. Johnny Lee Higgins (No Ranking)

34. Percy Harvin (15)

35. Hines Ward (17)

36. Donald Driver (No Ranking)

37. TJ Houshmandzadeh (14)

38. Andre Johnson (1)

39. Louis Murphy (No Ranking)

40. Mike Thomas (No Ranking)

Week 17 Fantasy Review- RB

1. Jamaal Charles (6)

2. Willis McGahee (25)

3. Fred Jackson (13)

4. Chris Johnson (1)

5. Arian Foster (28)

6. Frank Gore (3)

7. Knowshon Moreno (15)

8. Jerome Harrison (10)

9. Thomas Jones (9)

10. Jonathan Stewart (7)

11. Jason Snelling (17)

12. Felix Jones (32)

13. Fred Taylor (No Ranking)

14. Lynelle Hamilton (25)

15. Matt Forte (11)

16. Ryan Grant (No Ranking)

17. Adrian Peterson (5)

18. Rashard Mendenhall (12)

19. Maurice Morris (14)

20. Marian Barber (28)

21. Willie Parker (No Ranking)

22. Danny Ware (No Ranking)

23. Mike Hart (No Ranking)

24. Michael Bennett (No Ranking)

25. Maurice Jones-Drew (4)

26. Ray Rice (2)

27. Justin Forsett (19)

28. Mike Sellers (No Ranking)

29. Cadillac Williams (8)

30. Lex Hilliard (No Ranking)

31. Mike Cox (No Ranking)

32. Moran Norris (No Ranking)

33. Steven Jackson (30)

34. Julius Jones (38)

35. Naufahu Tahi (No Ranking)

36. Mike Tolbert (27)

37. Shonn Greene (35)

38. Ahman Green (31)

39. Jerrious Norwood (29)

40. Ahmad Bradshaw (21)

Week 17 Fantasy Review- QB

1. Brett Favre (1)

2. Jay Cutler (9)

3. Ben Roethlisberger (2)

4. Aaron Rodgers (No Ranking)

5. Jason Campbell (17)

6. David Garrard (11)

7. Tony Romo (3)

8. Matt Schaub (4)

9. Ryan Fitzpatrick (No Ranking)

10. Daunte Culpepper (No Ranking)

11. Kyle Orton (No Ranking)

12. Alex Smith (16)

13. Matt Ryan (13)

14. Charlie Frye (No Ranking)

15. Billy Volek (No Ranking)

16. Matt Moore (14)

17. Matt Hasselbeck (15)

18. Philip Rivers (No Ranking)

19. Chad Henne (18)

20. Donovan McNabb (5)

Week 17 Game Review- Part 4

Just missed one in this series of games.  I didn't figure that the Packers would go for it, but they did.

Green Bay at Arizona

Nice win for the Packers.  Hopefully, they didn't show the Arizona coaching staff too much.  The Anquan Boldin injury could be huge for the Cardinals, if it's anything serious.  Both teams didn't generate too much pressure, but that was the only similarity.  Green Bay thumped Arizona with 60% red zone conversions, 160 more yards on offense, and a +2 turnover differential.  Plus, they held the ball for 15 more minutes.

Washington at San Diego

This was a tight ball game.  A game Washington could have easily have won.  Both teams generated minimal pressure.  Washington actually won the turnover battle at +1.  But the Chargers did just enough to win.  They went 67% in the red zone, while the Redskins went 50%, and gained 25 more yards on offense.  It was enough for the hottest team in the AFC.

Tennessee at Seattle

I'm shocked Seattle showed some heart.  It's been a month, since they showed any backbone.  The yards were even, and the Seahawks won the turnover battle at +1.  However, Tennessee went 67% in the red zone, as opposed to the Seahawks 33%, and protected Vince Young, while harrassing Matt Hasselbeck to three sacks on seven hits.  Congratulations to Chris Johnson for setting the single-season total yards mark, and becoming the sixth rusher in NFL history to gain 2000 yards on the ground.

Cincinnati at New York Jets

Obviously, the Bengals postponed their competitive fire for next week, and the Jets took advantage.  New York kept Mark Sanchez clean, while generating three sacks on three hits to Cincinnati quarterbacks.  They went 60% in the red zone and won the turnover battle at +3.  And here's the telling number: 72.  That's the number of yards the Jets defense allowed all game.  Wow!  Great performance by Rex Ryan's defense.  I'm excited for this matchup next week.

Week 17 Game Review- Part 3

I was just 50% with this batch, missing New England-Houston and Kansas City-Denver.

New England at Houston

The Patriots have been terrible on the road this season.  They went 2-6, with an asterisk, because one of those road wins was in London.  Give it to the Texans for fighting for a playoff spot.  They hit New England quarterbacks six times, gained 130 more yards, and went +1 in turnover differential.  Though, they did allow New England to go perfect in the red zone, while going 50% on their six opportunities.  Good win by Houston, but unfortunately they didn't receive the help from other teams to actually make the playoffs for the first time in franchise history.

Philadelphia at Dallas

I guess the Eagles didn't have anything at stake for this one, since they failed to show up.  Give credit to Dallas, as they dismantled the Birds, and are the hottest team in the NFC.  They sacked Donovan McNabb four times on five hits, had a whopping 250 more yards on offense, went 50% in the red zone, and held the ball for 21 more minutes.  This is their second straight shut-out, which is tough to do.  The rematch is next week.  Perhaps, the Eagles will receive the memo before Saturday.

Kansas City at Denver

Another huge game from Jamaal Charles, and a big let-down from the Broncos, as they were unable to cash in on their 6-0 start.  Kansas City won, despite allowing Denver to go 75% in the red zone, and allowing their opponent to gain over 500 yards of offense.  They were victorious, because they also gained over 500 yards of offense, kept Matt Cassel clean, won the turnover battle at +1.

Baltimore at Oakland

Another nice win for the Ravens.  Oakland had every opportunity to pick up the victory, but were unable to, despite pressuring Joe Flacco into four sacks on six hits.  The yards were even.  However, Baltimore won because they went 67% in the red zone, and were +2 in the turnover battle.

Week 17 Game Review- Part 2

I swept this grouping of games.

Pittsburgh at Miami

This was an exciting game, until Miami had to play quarterback roulette.  First, Chad Henne had an eye injury, then Pat White's scary concussion, leading to Tyler Thigpen entering the game.  They had their shot, but Thigpen had an ill-advised throw into double coverage near the goal line that was picked off.  In fact, Pittsburgh should have won by a wider margin.  They gained 100 more yards, and won the turnover battle at +1.  Their 33% conversion rate in the red zone is what made this one close.

New York Giants at Minnesota

Talk about a team folding.  Following their rousing Monday night victory over the hapless Redskins, the Giants have been dismantled by the Panthers and Vikings on consecutive weeks.  The Vikings destroyed their opponent with five red zone touchdowns, 300 more yards on offense, won the turnover battle at +2, and held the ball for 14 more minutes.  Nice bounce-back win for the Vikings heading into the playoffs.

Atlanta at Tampa Bay

Congratulations are in order for the Falcons for their first back-to-back winning seasons in franchise history.  They could have won by more than 10 points, as well, as they went just 40% in the red zone, and lost the turnover battle at -1.  Atlanta allowed minimal pressure to Matt Ryan, gained 190 more yards, and held the ball for 11 more minutes, a winning formula for most games.

New Orleans at Carolina

Nice game for Jonathan Stewart, making the Panthers have the first pair of 1100 yard rushers in NFL history.  Carolina dominated this one, as they gained 110 more yards, allowed just two red zone chances, and went +3 in turnover differential.  The Saints went the Indianapolis route, and rested their star players for the majority of this game.

Week 17 Game Review- Part 1

I ended the season on a high-note going 12-4 on the day.  The one game I missed with this group was Indy's backups against Buffalo in a blizzard.  I'll get into it more below

Indianapolis at Buffalo

To say the Bills dominated this one is an understatement.  They thrashed this substitute ridden team, and could have won by a larger margin, since they went just 25% in the red zone.  Buffalo had 250 more yards on offense, +3 turnover advantage, and held the ball for 15 more minutes.  Hopefully, the strategy they used during last two games doesn't hurt the Colts in the playoffs.

Jacksonville at Cleveland

The Browns allowed the Jaguars back into this one, albeit too late, but they should have done better than 40% in the red zone.  They harassed David Garrard, sacking him three times on 10 hits, while keeping Derek Anderson clean.  Jacksonville gained slightly more yards, and the turnovers were even, but their pass-rush was their Achilles heal this season.

Chicago at Detroit

Where was this Chicago team these past two games this season?  The Bears gained 70 more yards, went 67% in the red zone, and were +2 in the turnover battle.  They did allow pressure on Jay Cutler, and allowed the Lions to go 50%, so there is room for improvement on this team.  The Lions fought valiantly, like they have all season, but they don't have the personnel yet.

San Francisco at St. Louis

Will the Rams ever get Steven Jackson the help he deserves?  That will be a key question in the offseason.  The Rams were able to pressure Alex Smith to the tune of three sacks on six hits.  However, that was dwarfed by the pressure their quarterbacks took- eight sacks on 12 hits.  The turnovers were even.  San Francisco won it because they allowed 109 yards of offense to the Rams- outgaining them 220 yards, and were a perfect three for three in the red zone.  Nice win for the 49ers.

Week 17 Inactives

No Drew Brees, Brandon Jacobs, Pierre Thomas, Steve Smith Car

Week 17- TE Correction

12. Vernon Davis- for Tony Scheffler

Week 17 Fantasy Preview- TE

1. Jason Witten

2. Heath Miller

3. Brent Celek

4. Kevin Boss

5. Todd Heap

6. Visanthe Shiancoe

7. Jon Carlson

8. Kellen Winslow, Jr.

9. Fred Davis

10. Zach Miller, Oak

11. Bo Scaife

12. Tony Scheffler

13. David Thomas

14. Dustin Keller

15. Greg Olsen

16. Tom Santi

17. Benjamin Watson

18. Jon Carlson

19. Jermichael Finley

20. Tony Gonzalez

Week 17 Fantasy Preview- WR

1. Andre Johnson

2. Randy Moss

3. Sidney Rice

4. Miles Austin

5. Wes Welker

6. Santonio Holmes

7. Roddy White

8. DeSean Jackson

9. Steve Smith, NYG

10. Larry Fitzgerald

11. Braylon Edwards

12. Devin Aromashdu

13. Derrick Mason

14. TJ Houshmandzadeh

15. Percy Harvin

16. Calvin Johnson

17. Hines Ward

18. Devery Henderson

19. Roy Williams

20. Anquan Boldin

21. Jeremy Maclin

22. Dwayne Bowe

23. Michael Crabtree

24. Kenny Britt

25. Kevin Walter

26. Mohamed Massaquoi

27. Antonio Bryant

28. Austin Collie

29. Steve Breaston

30. Jerecho Cotchery

31. Justin Gage

32. Legadu Naaanee

33. Mario Manningham

34. Mike Sims-Walker

35. Eddie Royal

36. Jason Avant

37. Early Doucet

38. Josh Morgan

39. Davone Bess

40. Bernard Berrian

Week 17 Fantasy Preview- RB

1. Chris Johnson

2. Ray Rice

3. Frank Gore

4. Maurice Jones-Drew

5. Adrian Peterson

6. Jamaal Charles

7. Jonathan Stewart

8. Cadillac Williams

9. Thomas Jones

10. Jerome Harrison

11. Matt Forte

12. Rashard Mendenhall

13. Fred Jackson

14. Maurice Morris

15. Knowshon Moreno

16. Donald Brown

17. Jason Snelling

18. Brian Westbrook

19. Justin Forsett

20. Ricky Williams

21. Ahmad Bradshaw

22. Correll Buckhalter

23. Marian Barber

24. Lynelle Hamilton

25. Willis McGahee

26. Sammy Morris

27. Mike Tolbert

28. Arian Foster

29. Jerrious Norwood

30. Steven Jackson

31. Ahman Green

32. Felix Jones

33. Larry Johnson

34. Beanie Wells

35. Shonn Greene

36. Laurence Maroney

37. Marshawn Lynch

38. Julius Jones

39. LaRod Stephens-Howling

40. Tim Hightower

Week 17 Fantasy Preview- QB

1. Brett Favre

2. Ben Roethlisberger

3. Tony Romo

4. Matt Schaub

5. Donovan McNabb

6. Tom Brady

7. Joe Flacco

8. Eli Manning

9. Jay Cutler

10. Kurt Warner

11. David Garrard

12. Vince Young

13. Matt Ryan

14. Matt Moore

15. Matt Hasselbeck

16. Alex Smith

17. Jason Campbell

18. Chad Henne

19. Jason Freeman

20. Derek Anderson

Week 17 NFL Preview- Part 4

Green Bay at Arizona

The toughest game of the week to predict.  These teams may very likely play again for keeps next week, meaning they don't want to show any weaknesses to their opponent.  The Packers are practically set with the five seed, while the Cardinals have an outside shot at the second seed in the playoffs.  With that premise, I'll go with the Cardinals.  The numbers will be more meaningful for both of these teams next week.  Final score 17-13 Arizona.

Washington at San Diego

Another tough game to predict- I'm sensing a trend this week.  Washington has quit on the season, as the coaching staff is in flux, and San Diego may start pulling players early, since they've already locked up the second seed in the AFC.  Also, the Redskins must travel across the country for this one.  I don't see them pulling off the upset.  Final score 27-10 San Diego.

Tennessee at Seattle

The Seahawks phoned in this season a month ago.  They've played terrible football, while the Titans have played inspired once Vince Young was inserted into the starting lineup.  Young is my Comeback Player of the Year, in case anyone was interested.  Tennessee protects much better, moves the ball more effectively, are more efficient in the red zone on both sides of the ball, and possess the better turnover differential.  Final score 35-20 Tennessee.

Cincinnati at New York Jets

I have no idea why this was the game that was flexed.  The only rational thought would be the fulfillment of NFL's contract with NBC for even number of flex games between the conferences.  If that's the case, why not show Pittsburgh-Miami, or New England-Houston.  Back to this game.  These teams have the potential to play next week, and Jets need a win to make the playoffs.  It wouldn't make sense for the Bengals to play their starters for more than a couple of series.  The Jets make the playoffs.  Final score 20-10 New York.

Week 17 NFL Preview- Part 3

New England at Houston

Another matchup with potential playoff implications.  The yards are about even on either side of the ball.  New England's advantages are superior protection, stingier red zone defense, and turnover differential.  Houston's are generating pressure, and a slight edge in red zone touchdowns.  This should be an entertaining game, but one that the Patriots have had a tendency to win over the years.  Final score 35-31 New England.

Philadelphia at Dallas

The clash for the NFC East title, with seeding at stake.  The yards gained are slightly in the Cowboys favor.  Their other advantages are generating pressure, and red zone scoring on either side of the ball.  Philadelphia's edges are protection and a huge discrepancy in the turnover battle.  Another high-scoring shootout with edge going to the home team.  Final score 41-38 Dallas.

Kansas City at Denver

Denver should win this one handily.  They have the advantage on both sides of the ball for pressure, protection, total yards, red zone, and turnover differential.  Plus, they need to win to earn a playoff birth.  They made the game tougher for themselves by suspending Brandon Marshall for the week.  However, this is the same defense that allowed Jerome Harrison to run for third highest rushing day ever.  Expect big days from Knowshon Moreno and Correll Buckhalter.  Final score 27-17 Denver.

Baltimore at Oakland

Another match where one team has overwhelming advantage in pressure, protection, total yards, red zone, and turnover differential with a playoff birth on the line.  Oakland has had good fortune against solid competition this season, so I don't expect a blowout.  Final score 24-17 Baltimore.

Week 17 NFL Preview- Part 2

Pittsburgh at Miami

This could possibly be the game of the week.  Both teams need to win this one for a shot at the playoffs- then get help from the other teams.  Miami has better protection, generates slightly more pressure, is more efficient scoring red zone touchdowns.  Pittsburgh moves the ball more effectively, is stingier on yards allowed and red zone touchdowns against, and has a slightly better turnover differential.  Either team can win this one, but I'll take the Steelers.  Final score 27-24 Pittsburgh.

New York Giants at Minnesota

Too bad the Giants folded last week, because this would have been an intriguing matchup with playoff implications.  Now, it just matters for the Vikings.  The yards gained and allowed for both teams is even.  New York protects better, but that's it.  Minnesota generates more pressure, is much more efficient in the red zone, and takes better care of the ball.  The Vikings right the ship this week.  Final score 28-21 Minnesota.

Atlanta at Tampa Bay

Both teams are playing for next season.  The Bucs have shown gumption over their last couple of games.  Atlanta is coming off a blowout of Buffalo.  The Falcons have advantages in protection, yards gained, efficiency in the red zone on both sides of the ball, and possess a slight edge in the turnover battle.  Tampa Bay's single advantage is generating quarterback hits.  Either team can win this one, but I'll go with the Falcons, because Tampa Bay has no one who can keep up with Roddy White.  Final score 21-20 Atlanta.

New Orleans at Carolina

This is one those games that the stats have to be tossed aside, because I don't see the Saints starters going for more than a half.  Carolina has been impressive over their last couple of games.  Jonathan Stewart is the best backup in football, and is showing off is talent over his extended playing time.  Final score 21-17 Carolina.

Week 17 NFL Preview- Part 1

Indianapolis at Buffalo

Like most of the games this week, this one will be tough.  No one outside the Colts organization knows for sure how much the starters are playing.  Both teams have created similar pressure, but the Bills have allowed way too many hits and sacks to their quarterbacks.  The Colts have gained 110 more yards on offense per game, have been much more efficient in the red zone, and protect the ball better.  With the starters playing minimally for the Colts, I suspect this will be a low-scoring game.  Final score 17-10 Indianapolis.

Jacksonville at Cleveland

Another tough game to call.  For the Jaguars, this game has playoff implications, while the Browns have played inspired football over the last month.  This game could go either way, however, I'm going with the Browns.  They can generate pressure, while the Jaguars can't, and are more effective at preventing red zone touchdowns.  Jacksonville does have an advantage in yards, turnover differential, and red zone offense.   I like the way the Browns have played recently.  Final score 31-28 Cleveland.

Chicago at Detroit

Another potentially tough one for the Motor City crowd.  Playing another game sans Matthew Stafford, and those have been difficult on the Lions.  The Bears have allowed less pressure, while generating more hits, are more effective scoring red zone touchdowns, and have been better in the turnover battle.  Final score 24-10 Chicago.

San Francisco at St. Louis

These teams have allowed similar pressure and gained the same amount of yards.  Those are the only similarities.  The 49ers are more efficient on both sides of the ball in the red zone, and possess a superior turnover differential.  San Francisco should win this one.  Final score 21-13 San Francisco.