Week 12 Game Review- Part 2

The Carolina-New York game was the one I missed this week.  I discounted the Jake Delhomme's propensity for throwing interceptions, and overrated the injuries to Kris Jenkins and Leon Washington for the Jets.  I'll review it further below.

Carolina at New York Jets

New York was very impressive defensively.  They held the Panthers to just 179 yards of offense, zero red zone touchdowns, on just one attempt, had three sacks, and caused four turnovers.  The Jets did enough on offense to win.  They went 50% in the red zone and gained 100 more yards of offense.

Washington at Philadelphia

As an Eagles fan, this was frustrating to watch.  The Eagles were clearly the more talented team, but they gave the Redskins too many chances.  (Starting the game with an onside kick was just asinine.)  Based on the red zone, Washington should have won.  They went 75% in the red zone, and held the Eagles to 25%.  Philadelphia gained 80 more yards and were +1 in turnover differential, while pressuring Jason Campbell with five hits.  It was barely enough for the Eagles to win the game.

Indianapolis at Houston

Another impressive win for the Colts.  They essentially spotted the Texans two touchdowns, and still won.  Despite being out gained by 50 yards, the Colts won because they more efficient in the red zone, were +1 in turnover differential, and were called on seven fewer penalties.

Week 12 Game Review- Part 1

Overall, I went 13-3 this week.  In the Sunday games, my record was 10-2.  I missed one game in this batch, Miami-Buffalo.  I'll review it in greater depth later, but I was impressed with the heart that Buffalo has played with since Dick Juron was let go.

Tampa Bay at Atlanta

I figured this game would be close.  Josh Freeman has given the Bucs a spark, and the Falcons have have fallen in a bit of a tailspin.  It won't get easier, as Matt Ryan may miss a game or two.  The Bucs did a good job at pressuring the passer with six sacks on eight hits, while protecting Freeman.  They had more total yards and were more effective in the red zone than the Falcons.  The difference was penalties, as Atlanta was called for five fewer penalties.

Miami at Buffalo

This was the game I missed.  The wind went out of the sails for the Dolphins, following the Ricky Williams interception.  However, the Bills won this game outright, so they deserve credit for the win.  Buffalo edged Miami in total yards and were perfect in the red zone.  Their line is still leaky, as they allowed 13 hits.

Cleveland at Cincinnati

The Bengals should have won this game by a wider margin.  They went just 33% in the red zone and gave up three sacks on six hits, while having 130 yard advantage while holding the ball for 17 additional minutes.  Credit Cleveland for maintaining such a close game.  Cincinnati has to play better against inferior opponents.  The loss to Oakland and the competitiveness of this game proves they play down to lesser competition.

Seattle at St. Louis

Seattle dominated with an old school game plan- run the ball and play solid defense.  The numbers bear it out.  Justin Forsett had a solid game running the ball, while Matt Hasselbeck threw for barely over 100 yards.  The defense had 12 hits, held the Rams to 100 fewer yards, and were +1 in the turnover department.

Week 12 Fantasy Preview- TE

1. Dallas Clark
2. Antonio Gates
3. Tony Gonzalez
4. Jeremy Shockey
5. Greg Olsen
6. Heath Miller
7. Visanthe Shiancoe
8. Jason Witten
9. Jon Carlson
10. Brent Celek
11. Zach Miller
12. Tony Scheffler
13. Jermichael Finley
14. Dustin Kller
15. Kellen Winslow, Jr.
16. Kevin Boss
17. Will Heller
18. Benjamin Watson
19. Bo Scaife
20. Fred Davis

Week 12 Fantasy Preview- WR

1. Reggie Wayne
2. Andre Johnson
3. Randy Moss
4. Vincent Jackson
5. Larry Fitzgerald
6. Roddy White
7. Chad Ochocinco
8. Donald Driver
9. Mike Sims-Walker
10. Sidney Rice
11. Brandon Marshall
12. Steve Smith, Car
13. Anquan Boldin
14. Wes Welker
15. Marques Colston
16. DeSean Jackson
17. Terrell Owens
18. Steve Smith, NYG
19. TJ Houshmandzadeh
20. Greg Jennings
21. Calvin Johnson
22. Miles Austin
23. Nate Burleson
24. Percy Harvin
25. Jerecho Cotchery
26. Michael Crabtree
27. Hines Ward
28. Pierre Garcon
29. Kenny Britt
30. Antonio Byrant
31. Santana Moss
32. Jeremy Maclin
33. Derrick Mason
34. Chris Chambers
36. Bernard Berrian
36. Robert Meachem
37. Steve Breaston
38. Devin Hester
39. Braylon Edwards
40. Devery Henderson

Week 12 Fantasy Preview- RB

1. Adrian Peterson
2. Steven Jackson
3. Chris Johnson
4. Ricky Williams
5. Ray Rice
6. Frank Gore
7. DeAngelo Williams
8. Maurice Jones-Drew
9. Thomas Jones
10. Joseph Addai
11. Ryan Grant
12. LaDanian Tomlinson
13. Cedric Benson
14. Pierre Thomas
15. Rashard Mendenhall
16. LeSean McCoy
17. Jamaal Charles
18. Laurence Maroney
19. Kevin Smith
20. Matt Forte
21. Rock Cartwright
22. Jason Snelling
23. Fred Jackson
24. Brandon Jacobs
25. Justin Forsett
26. Marian Barber
27. Cadillac Williams
28. Knowshon Moreno
29. Beanie Wells
30. Steve Slaton
31. Correll Buckhalter
32. Jerrious Norwood
33. Darren Sproles
34. Felix Jones
35. Justin Fargas
36. Reggie Bush
37. Tim Hightower
38. Chris Brown
39. Jonathan Stewart
40. Leonard Weaver

Week 12 Fantasy Preview- QB

These are my rankings, including where I would have ranked the players involved in the Thanksgiving games.

1. Peyton Manning
2. Drew Brees
3. Tom Brady
4. Aaron Rodgers
5. Philip Rivers
6. Matt Hasselbeck
7. Matt Ryan
8. Matt Schaub
9. Brett Favre
10. Carson Palmer
11. Tony Romo
12. Kurt Warner
13. Donovan McNabb
14. Joe Flacco
15. David Garrard
16. Jay Cutler
17. Alex Smith
18. Matthew Stafford
19. Eli Manning
20. Vince Young

Week 12 NFL Preview- Part 4

Chicago at Minnesota
There are a couple of similarities between these two teams, in terms of protection and yards allowed. But that's where the similarities end. Minnesota generates much more pressure, is much more effecient on both sides of the ball in the red zone, and has a +6 turnover differential. Final score 38-24 Minnesota.

Pittsburgh at Baltimore
Looking at the numbers, they sway Baltimore's way. The Ravens protect better, are more effective in the red zone, and have a +5 turnover differential. That said, the Steelers are playing without both Ben Roethlisberger and Troy Polamalu. The Ravens should win this big time. Final score 31-17 Baltimore.

New England at New Orleans
This game is the game of the week. Both teams protect the passer well, they gain the same amount of yards per game, and are double digits in turnover differential. The Saints are better at pressuring the quarterback and scoring in the red zone. The Patriots are better at defending the red zone and allow fewer yards per game. This one will be a high-scoring shoot-out. Final score 41-35 New Orleans.

Week 12 NFL Preview- Part 3

Kansas City at San Diego
The Chiefs are coming off a huge upset of the reigning Super Bowl champs, while the Chargers dominated Denver for first place last week. The biggest difference between these teams is pressure. Kansas City does a terrible job of protecting and generates minimal pressure. Also, San Diego moves the more effectively. Final score 27-10 San Diego.

Jacksonville at San Francisco
These teams are pretty evenly matched. Both allow too much pressure, give up the same amount of yards per game, and are close in turnover differential. San Francisco generates more pressure and is more effective both offensively and defensively in the red zone. Jacksonville moves the ball more effectively. It will be close. Final score 24-21 San Francisco.

Arizona at Tennessee
Another game with evenly matched teams. Both generate similar amount of pressure, turnover differential, give up about the same amount of yards per game, and are very effective in the red zone. Tennessee is superior at protecting the passer, while Arizona defends the red zone much better. With Kurt Warner being questionable, and Vince Young playing so well, I see the Titans sqeaking this one out. Final score 28-27 Tennessee.

Week 12 NFL Preview- Part 2

Carolina at New York Jets
These two teams have many similarities. Both have turnover prone quarterbacks, suffered key injuries, and run the ball well. The Jets have the numbers slightly in their favor, but that's mostly due to their hot start. Carolina has been the better team over the past month, last week's game notwithstanding. Plus, they've had three additional days to prepare for this one. Final score 20-17 Carolina.

Washington at Philadelphia
I've mentioned in this space several times how hard this defense has it for the Redskins this season. They are excellent at defending the red zone, provide pressure to the opposing quarterback, and limit the yardage to opposing teams. However, the Eagles move the ball much more efficiently, especially with quick stricks, protect better, and have a +8 turnover differential, compared to Washington's -5. It will probably be close, because that's how NFC East matchups tend to be. Final score 27-21 Philadelphia.

Indianapolis at Houston
Houston blew a statement game on Monday night, while the Colts sneaked out a victory against the Ravens. The teams move the ball and give up about the same amount of yardage, and score with about the same proficiency in the red zone. Indianapolis sets itself apart with much better protection of the quarterback and the football. Final score 31-21 Indianapolis.

Week 12 NFL Game Preview- Part 1

Tampa Bay at Atlanta
After looking at the numbers, I was surprised to see how close Tampa Bay is to Atlanta. Their turnover differential is identical, they allow the same amount of yards per game, and generate similar pressure to the opposing quarterback. Here's where Atlanta wins this game. They move the ball more effectively, protect Matt Ryan, and are better in red zone defense. It will be closer than most suspect. Final score 28-21 Atlanta.

Miami at Buffalo
The Bills are a team in turmoil. This is their second week under a new coach and their offensive line is young and injured. The 68 quarterback hits prove its not effective. Miami is much more efficient in the red zone, both offensively and defensively. Plus, the Dolphins have had extra time to prepare for this one. Final score 24-14 Miami.

Cleveland at Cincinnati
Before the season, if you told me the Bengals are one game away from sweeping the division and their playing the Browns, I would have laughed. But it's true. The Bengals protect and attack the quarterback better. They average 100 more yards a game, while the Browns allow 90 more. Cincinnati is much more effective offensively and defensively in the red zone. And Cleveland is terrible at protecting the football. Final score 27-10 Cincinnati.

Seattle at St. Louis
Earlier this decade, this would have been a game of the week type matchup. Now? Not so much. Both teams turnover the ball too often, generate minimal quarterback pressure, and yield too many yards to their opponents. Surprisingly, the Rams protect better, Marc Bulger's injury notwithstanding. They've allowed four fewer sacks and 13 fewer hits. However, Seattle wins because they are more effective on both sides of the ball in the red zone. It will be a shootout. Final score 35-31 Seattle.

Week 12 Thanksgiving Review

I was correct on the first two games, although I thought Detroit would play more competitively following their rousing victory last week. The Giants just did not show up for the night cap. I completely missed that one.

Green Bay at Detroit
As I mentioned above, I saw this game as shootout, especially if Calvin Johnson played. And Matthew Stafford gutted through this contest. The Packers won this game because they gained 150 more yards, were more efficient in the red zone, and were +3 in turnover differential. Good game from Green Bay.

Oakland at Dallas
Not much to write here. Dallas dominated in this one. Their defense hit Bruce Gradkowski a whopping ten times and were +1 in turnover differential. On offense, they gained 190 more yards and were 67% in the red zone. The Cowboys just took care of business.

New York Giants at Denver
I'm flabbergasted at how the Giants did not show up. Denver beat them to the punch at every faze of the game. While watching, the Broncos just looked faster and hungrier out on the field. It showed in the numbers. Kyle Orton took just one hit, while Eli Manning was sacked three times and took six hits. The Broncos dominated with over 100 total yards and were +2 in turnover differential. New York's red zone woes continue, as they struck out in their one attempt, but were better on defense, allowing a 40% conversion rate.

Week 12 Thanksgiving Preview

Green Bay at Detroit

Both teams limp into this game with significant injuries.  On defense Green Bay lost two of their top defenders in Al Harris and Aaron Kampmann for the season.  Detroit's offense is probably playing without Matthew Stafford.  If Calvin Johnson plays, this game has the potential to be high scoring.  The advantage goes to Green Bay in a shoot-out.  Final score 31-28 Green Bay.

Oakland at Dallas

The Raiders are coming off a shocking upset of Cincinnati, while Dallas is following up a moral defeat against Washington.  The Cowboys are much better at pressuring the passer and moving the ball.  Dallas should win this one handily.  Final score 35-17 Dallas.

New York Giants at Denver

Following their hot start, Denver has fallen into a tailspin.  The Giants are coming off an overtime victory over Atlanta.  New York has created more pressure than the Broncos and average 60 more yards per game.  However, they still have their red zone woes, especially on defense.  Denver is playing with an injured Kyle Orton and an aging defense.  Final score 21-17 New York.

Week 11 Fantasy Review- TE

1. Kevin Boss (19)

2. Vernon Davis (7)

3. Heath Miller (8)

4. Tony Gonzalez (2)

5. Visanthe Shiancoe (6)

6. Brandon Pettigrew (No Ranking)

7. David Thomas (No Ranking)

8. Zach Miller (14)

9. Leonard Pope (No Ranking)

10. Will Heller (17)

11. Marcedes Lewis (No Ranking)

12. Kellen Davis (20)

13. Dallas Clark (1)

14. Michael Gaines (No Ranking)

15. Tom Santi (No Ranking)

16. Jermichael Finley (No Ranking)

17. Justin Peelle (No Ranking)

18. Jason Witten (3)

19. Antonio Gates (5)

20. Greg Olsen (10)

Week 11 Fantasy Review- WR

1. Terrell Owens (39)

2. Calvin Johnson (21)

3. Wes Welker (15)

4. Sidney Rice (5)

5, Hines Ward (6)

6. Greg Jennings (25)

7. Mohammed Massaquoi (No Ranking)

8. Anquan Boldin (18)

9. Mike Sims-Walker (8)

10. DeSean Jackson (12)

11. Derrick Mason (37)

12. Steve Smith, Car (10)

13. Larry Fitzgerald (7)

14. Jerecho Cotchery (40)

15. Andre Johnson (3)

16. Robert Meachem (No Ranking)

17. Chansi Stuckey (No Ranking)

18. Michael Crabtree (22)

19. Percy Harvin (20)

20. Mario Manningham (No Ranking)

21. Chris Chambers (31)

22. Nate Burleson (26)

23. Josh Cribbs (No Ranking)

24. Pierre Garcon (29)

25. Kenny Britt (No Ranking)

26. Randy Moss (2)

27. Reggie Wayne (1)

28. Santonio Holmes (32)

29. Jason Avant (No Ranking)

30. Jordy Nelson (No Ranking)

31. Louis Murphy (No Ranking)

32. Michael Clayton (No Ranking)

33. Michael Jenkins (No Ranking)

34. Bernard Berrian (No Ranking)

35. Patrick Crayton (No Ranking)

36. Marques Colston (11)

37. Steve Smith, NYG (19)

38. Laveranues Coles (No Ranking)

39. Chad Ochocinco (13)

40. Legadu Naanee (No Ranking)

Week 11 Fantasy Review- RB

1. Ricky Williams (12)

2. Jason Snelling (17)

3. Kevin Smith (22)

4. Ryan Grant (16)

5. Mike Bell (No Ranking)

6. Steven Jackson (4)

7. Laurence Maroney (38)

8. Rashard Mendenhall (5)

9. Jamaal Charles (24)

10. Chris Johnson (1)

11. DeAngelo Williams (8)

12. Justin Forsett (27)

13. Beanie Wells (20)

14. Bernard Scott (No Ranking)

15. LaDanian Tomlinson (19)

16. Rock Cartwright (No Ranking)

17. Joseph Addai (9)

18. Maurice Jones-Drew (3)

19. Ray Rice (6)

20. LeSean McCoy (18)

21. Steve Slaton (21)

22. Tim Hightower (30)

23. Frank Gore (11)

24. Mike Tolbert (No Ranking)

25. Jamal Lewis (35)

26. Thomas Jones (10)

27. Brandon Jacobs (13)

28. Pierre Thomas (7)

29. Adrian Peterson (2)

30. Chester Taylor (No Ranking)

31. Kahlil Bell (No Ranking)

32. Aaron Brown (No Ranking)

33. Correll Buckhalter (29)

34. Marian Barber (32)

35. Brandon Jackson (No Ranking)

36. Matt Forte (14)

37. Madison Hedgecock (No Ranking)

38. LenDale White (No Ranking)

39. Knowshon Moreno (23)

40. Chris Jennings

Week 11 Fantasy Review- QB

My big miss was Brady Quinn.  That was definitely a fluke game between two teams with lousy defenses.  As per usual, pre-game ranking is in parenthesis.

1. Matthew Stafford (16)

2. Brady Quinn

3. Eli Manning (15)

4. Brett Favre (5)

5. Ben Roethlisberger (4)

6. Aaron Rodgers (6)

7. Matt Schaub (14)

8. Drew Brees (1)

9. Alex Smith (No Ranking)

10. Matt Ryan (20)

11. Tom Brady (2)

12. Carson Palmer (8)

13. Donovan McNabb (10)

14. Matt Cassel (No Ranking)

15. Kurt Warner (7)

16. Vince young (18)

17. Jake Delhomme (No Ranking)

18. Peyton Manning (3)

19. David Garrard (13)

20. Ryan Fitzpatrick (No Ranking)

Week 11 Game Review- Part 4

Following the Tennessee-Houston game, I went 12-4 on the week.  The only game I missed with this batch was Philadelphia-Chicago.  I thought with the extra days of rest and preparation would give the Bears the edge to win.  Obviously, that wasn't the case.

New York Jets at New England

What happened to Mark Sanchez?  Talk about growing pains!  Turnovers were the big difference in this game.  The Patriots held the ball for 20 more minutes, gained 180 more yards, and were 75% in the red zone, while giving the Jets nary a red zone chance.  Total domination by the Patriots.

Philadelphia at Chicago

The impression of this game was the Eagles were the better team, but gave the Bears too many chances.  Luckily for them, Chicago was unable to capitalize.  The Bears were +2 in turnover differential and sacked Donovan McNabb three times.  However, they went 33% in the red zone, while the Eagles were 67% and gained nearly 100 more yards of offense.

Tennessee at Houston

Vince Young has played magnificent football over the past month, and it continued last night.  Hence the win for Tennessee.  These two teams played a good, tight game, and the numbers bear it out.  The Titans generated more pressure, while the Texans were +1 in the turnover battle.  The biggest different was the red zone.  Tennessee was perfect, while Houston went 67%.

Week 11 Game Review- Part 3

I went 3-1 with this group of games.  The only one I missed was Cincinnati-Oakland.

Indianapolis at Baltimore

The number indicated this was a tight game.  Both teams kept their quarterback clean, gained over 350 yards of offense, held the ball relatively the same amount of time.  Baltimore should have won it, since they were +1 in turnover differential, and held the Colts to just 50% in the red zone.  Their downfall was their red zone offense.  Oh for four against Peyton Manning and the Colts is not good enough to beat them.

Arizona at St. Louis

Arizona probably would have won this game in blowout fashion had Kurt Warner hadn't gotten injured.  The Cardinals gained 130 more yards of offense and were 100% in the red zone.  Their offense sputtered when Matt Leinart took over for Warner.  Give the Rams credit for fighting hard, and making it a game after trailing early.

San Diego at Denver

Talk about two teams going in polar opposite directions.  The Chargers dominated this one.  They kept Philip Rivers clean, as he wasn't even hit once.  The offense gained 70 more yards, held the ball for 16 more minutes, and scored three red zone touchdowns, while the defense held the Broncos to zero in four chances and forced three turnovers.

Cincinnati at Oakland

Even though the Bengals had a 17 minute time of possession advantage and gained 70 more yards, the Raiders deserved the win.  They protected Bruce Gradkowski, as he took nary a hit, sacked Carson Palmer three times, held Cincinnati to 40% in the red zone, and were +1 in turnover differential.  This was an opportunity for the Bengals to further separate themselves in the division, but they squandered it to an inferior team, albeit the Raiders fought hard.

Week 11 Game Review- Part 2

I went 4-0 on this grouping of games.  The Atlanta-New York Giants game was an entertaining matchup.  I'll review it further below.

Seattle at Minnesota

The Vikings dominated this game.  Even backup Tavaris Jackson got into the act with a touchdown pass late in the game.  Minnesota was perfect in the red zone, gained over 210 more yards, went +2 in turnover differential, and held the ball for a whopping 24 additional minutes.  All in all, just another day in the office for the Vikings.

Atlanta at New York Giants

As I mentioned above, this was an entertaining game to watch.  The time of possession and turnover battles were even.  The Giants gained 100 more yards and generated more pressure on Matt Ryan, but the Falcons were better in the red zone, and were called on five fewer penalties.  Too bad one of these teams lost, because it was such a terrific game.

New Orleans at Tampa Bay

The Saints dominated this one, even with Drew Brees throwing for fewer than 200 yards.  It didn't matter.  The Saints were a perfect five for five in the red zone, gained 150 more yards, and forced four Tampa Bay turnovers.

Buffalo at Jacksonville

There was a Terrell Owens sighting yesterday, as he had nearly 200 yards receiving.  The Bills should have won this game.  They had a 30 yard advantage, but couldn't convert on their three red zone opportunities, while while the Jaguars scored two red zone touchdowns.

Week 11 Game Review- Part 1

I went 11-3 on Sunday, putting me at 11-4 on the week.  In the first batch of games, the only one I missed was the Pittsburgh-Kansas City matchup.  I'll get into it further below, but the Steelers allowed the Chiefs to stay in the game, and eventually win it.

Washington at Dallas

Both offenses sputtered in this one.  In fact, the Redskins should have won it.  They missed two field goals, and hitting one of them would have been the difference in the ball game.  The big difference was in the game was the red zone.  Dallas capitalized once in two opportunities, while didn't capitalize on its opportunity.

Cleveland at Detroit

Who would have predicted this would have been the most entertaining game of the day?  The Browns should have won this game, as they were +2 in turnover differential and held the ball for an additional 12 minutes.  Most Browns fans will blame the loss on either Hank Poteat's pass interference or Coach Mangini's timeout, which didn't help their cause, but they still had one play to defend the against a score.

San Francisco at Green Bay

The Packers should won this game by a wider margin.  They held the ball for 23 more minutes, had a +1 turnover advantage, and gained 200 more yards.  Give the 49ers credit for battling back in this one.  Also, the Packers lost defensive standouts Al Harris and Aaron Kampmann for the season.

Pittsburgh at Kansas City

I'm shocked that the Steelers lost this game.  And I'm sure I'm not the only one.  They sacked Matt Cassel five times, went 60% in the red zone, had a 22 minute advantage, and gained over 230 more yards of offense.  The difference for the Chiefs was turnovers, as they were +2 on the day, plus they returned a kick for a touchdown.

Week 11 Fantasy Preview- TE

1. Dallas Clark

2. Tony Gonzalez

3. Jason Witten

4. Brent Celek

5. Antonio Gates

6. Visanthe Shiancoe

7. Vernon Davis

8. Heath Miller

9. Jeremy Shockey

10. Greg Olsen

11. Kellen Winslow, Jr.

12. Todd Heap

13. Jon Carlson

14. Zach Miller

15. Dustin Keller

16. Benjamin Watson

17. Will Heller

18. Tony Scheffler

19. Kevin Boss

20. Kellen Davis

Week 11 Fantasy Preview- WR

1. Reggie Wayne

2. Randy Moss

3. Andre Johnson

4. Vincent Jackson

5. Sidney Rice

6. Hines Ward

7. Larry Fitzgerald

8. Mike Sims-Walker

9. Donald Driver

10. Steve Smith, Car

11. Marques Colston

12. DeSean Jackson

13. Chad Ochocinco

14. Brandon Marshall

15. Wes Welker

16. Roddy White

17. TJ Houshmandzadeh

18. Anquan Boldin

19. Steve Smith, NYG

20. Percy Harvin

21. Calvin Johnson

22. Michael Crabtree

23. Miles Austin

24. Santana Moss

25. Greg Jennings

26. Nate Burleson

27. Jeremy Maclin

28. Devin Hester

29. Pierre Garcon

30. Devery Henderson

31. Chris Chambers

32. Santonio Holmes

33. Braylon Edwards

34. Steve Breaston

35. Lee Evans

36. Nate Washington

37. Derrick Mason

38. Kevin Walter

39. Terrell Owens

40. Jerecho Cotchery

Week 11 Fantasy Preview- RB

1. Chris Johnson

2. Adrian Peterson

3. Maurice Jones-Drew

4. Steven Jackson

5. Rashard Mendenhall

6. Ray Rice

7. Pierre Thomas

8. DeAngelo Williams

9. Joseph Addai

10. Thomas Jones

11. Frank Gore

12. Ricky Williams

13. Brandon Jacobs

14. Ladell Betts

15. Matt Forte

16. Ryan Grant

17. Jason Snelling

18. LeSean McCoy

19. LaDanian Tomlinson

20. Beanie Wells

21. Steve Slaton

22. Kevin Smith

23. Knowshon Moreno

24. Jamaal Charles

25. Ryan Moats

26. Justin Fargas

27. Justin Forsett

28. Donald Brown

29. Correll Buckhalter

30. Tim Hightower

31. Darren Sproles

32. Marian Barber

33. Ahmad Bradshaw

34. Jonathan Stewart

35. Jamal Lewis

36. Cadiallac Williams

37. Marshawn Lynch

38. Laurence Maroney

39. Michael Bush

40. Kevin Faulk

Week 11 Fantasy Preview-QB

As I mentioned last week, I'm including what I projected for the players playing on Thursday.

1. Drew Brees

2. Tom Brady

3. Peyton Manning

4. Ben Roethlisberger

5. Brett Favre

6. Aaron Rodgers

7. Kurt Warner

8. Carson Palmer

9. Philip Rivers

10. Donovan McNabb

11. Matt Hasselbeck

12. Tony Romo

13. David Garrard

14. Matt Schaub

15. Eli Manning

16. Matthew Stafford

17. Jay Cutler

18. Vince Young

19. Joe Flacco

20. Matt Ryan

Week 11 NFL Preview- Part 4

New York Jets at New England

The numbers between these two teams is pretty close.  However, the Patriots has something to prove after the disaster last week against Indianapolis, and Mark Sanchez hasn't played well over the past couple of weeks.  The Patriots are +8 in turnover differential this season, and that's their biggest advantage.  Bill Belichick will run this score up.  Final score 45-17 New England.

Philadelphia at Chicago

The numbers skew the Eagles way.  Though, it doesn't take account the injuries in the secondary and in the linebacking core.  Plus, Chicago has had three additional days to prepare for this game.  The yardage gained and allowed between these teams is virtually even.  Final score 28-21 Chicago.

Tennessee at Houston

Tennessee has played very well the last three weeks, since Vince Young has taken over.  The Titans protect much better than the Texans.  Typically, I like the home team coming off of a bye, but the numbers skew the Texans way.  It will be close.  Final score 27-24 Tennessee.

Week 11 NFL Preview- Part 3

Indianapolis at Baltimore

This is possibly the game of the week.  Peyton Manning and the Colts coming off the miracle comeback victory, while the Ravens took care of business against the Browns.  The Colts protect better, are more efficient in the red zone, and are +11 in turnover differential.  Plus, the Ravens will play without linebacker Terrell Suggs.  Final score 28-21 Indianapolis.

Arizona at St. Louis

The eye catching stat in this game is red zone touchdowns.  The Cardinals are an amazing 68% in the red zone on 34 opportunities, while the Rams have scored, just six red zone touchdowns all season.  The Cardinals should win big.  Final score 31-10 Arizona.

San Diego at Denver

This game could compete with Indianapolis-Baltimore for game of the week.  It's an inter-divisional game with first place on the line.  The numbers between the teams are virtually identical.  Since there's a strong possibility Kyle Orton will not play, I'll have to go with the Chargers.  Final score 24-17 San Diego.

Cincinnati at Oakland

Even without Cedric Benson, the Bengals should win this game handily.  They protect much better, while generating pressure on opposing quarterbacks.  Their offensive and defensive proficiency in the red zone is superior.  And they average 130 more yards per game.  On top of that, the Raiders are starting Bruce Gradkowski at quarterback this week.  This is a recipe for a blowout.  Final score 38-10 Cincinnati.

Week 11 NFL Preview- Part 2

Seattle at Minnesota

The Vikings should win this game handily.  They protect and generate more pressure, are more proficient both offensively and defensively in the red zone, and have a +4 turnover differential.  Final score 35-21 Minnesota.

Atlanta at New York Giants

Talk about two evenly matched teams.  Both protect well, have generated about the same amount of pressure, and have the same turnover differential.  The Falcons are much more efficient in both red zone offense and defense, while the Giants are much stingier in terms of yards allowed.  They are second in the league, allowing about 100 fewer yards per game than the Falcons.  I tend the favor the home team coming off its bye week, and Matt Ryan has struggled of late, so that trend will continue.  Final score 24-21 New York.

New Orleans at Tampa Bay

This should be a laugher.  Both teams are on opposite ends of the NFL spectrum.  To illustrate that point, the Saints have scored ten more red zone touchdowns than the Bucs have had in red zone chances (27 to 17).  Also the Saints have gained 150 more yards per game.  Final score 41-17 New Orleans.

Buffalo at Jacksonville

Buffalo is in flux following the firing of coach Dick Juron, and the subsequent benching of Trent Edwards in favor of Ryan Fitzpatrick.  Jacksonville has played very well in its last several games, and showing signs of a team to be reckoned with.  They are much better in the red zone, and average 90 more yards per game than the Bills.  Final score 28-13 Jacksonville.

Week 11 NFL Preview- Part 1

Washington at Dallas

Washington comes into this came off an impressive win against Denver, while Dallas crawls into it following their loss to Green Bay.  In terms of the red zone scoring, generating pressure, and turnover differential, both teams are about even.  The difference is yardage and protection.  Dallas moves the ball more efficiently and does a much better job at keeping Tony Romo clean.  Final score 28-24 Dallas.

Cleveland at Detroit

Let's just say this isn't a game for the ages, but perhaps a battle for the number one overall pick.  Although Detroit's line doesn't do such a good job at protecting Matthew Stafford, at least they can move the ball down the field and score touchdowns.  And Cleveland does a terrible job at protecting the ball at -13 in turnover differential.  Final score 21-10 Detroit.

San Francisco at Green Bay

I've been waffling on this game all morning.  The Packers are terrible at protection, however they move the ball better, are more efficient in the red zone, and have a +13 turnover differential.  The 49ers are better at preventing red zone scoring, generate more pressure, and have had three extra days to prepare for this game.  Plus, they barely managed a win when they forced five turnovers.  That gives the slightest edge to the Packers.  Final score 21-17 Green Bay.

Pittsburgh at Kansas City

Even after losing Troy Polamalu, the Steelers should win this game handily.  The Chiefs are playing without their best receiver in Dwayne Bowe, and are not as proficient on the offensive end to maintain a scoring pace with Pittsburgh.  The biggest factor in this game is yards, as the Steelers have averaged about 100 more per game, while the Chiefs have allowed about 100 more per contest.  Final score 38-17 Pittsburgh.

Week 11 Thursday Game Review

Miami at Carolina

The Panthers really missed Jordan Gross, because Jake Delhomme was under too much pressure, especially on third down.  I don't understand why they couldn't continue to feed DeAngelo Williams, who was averaging nearly a first down per carry, especially since he would have taken the pressure off of Delhomme.  All in all, Miami deserved the win.  They were 67% in the red zone, while holding the Panthers to zero touchdowns in two opportunities, were +1 in the turnover battle, and protected Chad Henne.

Week 11 Thursday Game Preview

Miami at Carolina

These two teams are evenly matched.  Both are throwbacks to a time when running the ball was the predominant part of the game.  Also, each team suffered a significant injury on Sunday.  Miami running back Ronnie Brown was placed on injured reserved, and is out for the season, while Carolina tackle Jordan Gross was injured, as well.  As even as the numbers are, with a shortened week, I am going to take the home team.  It will be close.  Final score 20-17 Carolina.

Week 10 Fantasy Review- TE

As an Eagles fan, I'm very pleased with the progress that Brent Celek has made this season.  As always, the pre-game ranking is in parenthesis.

1. Kellen Winslow, Jr. (15)

2. Brent Celek (3)

3. Will Heller (No Ranking)

4. Jon Carlson (16)

5. Kory Sperry (No Ranking)

6. Justin Pellee (No Ranking)

7. Antonio Gates (2)

8. Greg Olsen (10)

9. Tony Gonzalez (8)

10. Todd Yoder (No Ranking)

11. Dallas Clark (1)

12. Jeff Dugan (No Ranking)

13. Spencer Havner (20)

14. Marcedes Lewis (No Ranking)

15. Daniel Fells (No Ranking)

16. Dustin Keller (13)

17. Fred Davis (19)

18. Todd Heap (12)

19. Jeremy Shockey (9)

20. Jason Witten (5)

Week 10 Fantasy Review- WR

For the fourth time this season, my number one ranked receiver didn't make the top 40.  Maybe its a curse!  For the top ten this week, Marques Colston, Miles Austin, Braylon Edwards, Vincent Jackson, and Chad Ochocinco didn't make the top 40.

1. Randy Moss (2)

2. Brandon Marshall (19)

3. Reggie Wayne (4)

4. Sidney Rice (9)

5. Donnie Avery (No Ranking)

6. Lee Evans (27)

7. TJ Houshmandzadeh (25)

8. Steve Smith, Car (11)

9. Jason Avant (No Ranking)

10. Roy Williams (No Ranking)

11. Larry Fitzgerald (3)

12. Steve Breaston (33)

13. Jeremy Maclin (No Ranking)

14. Jerecho Cotchery (31)

15. Robert Meachem (No Ranking)

16. Legedu Naanee (No Ranking)

17. Pierre Garcon (No Ranking)

18. Anquan Boldin (17)

19. Maurice Stovall (No Ranking)

20. Mike Sims-Walker (18)

21. Mushin Muhammed (No Ranking)

22. Wes Welker (12)

23. Roddy White (14)

24. Nate Washington (26)

25. Dwayne Bowe (20)

26. DeSean Jackson (13)

27. Brandon Gibson (No Ranking)

28. Terrell Owens (No Ranking)

29. Santonio Holmes (32)

30. Calvin Johnson (21)

31. Derrick Mason (24)

32. Devery Henderson (36)

33. Davone Bess (No Ranking)

34. Julian Edelman (No Ranking)

35. Laveranues Coles (No Ranking)

36. Chris Chambers (No Ranking)

37. Courtney Roby (No Ranking)

38. Donald Driver (7)

39. Deion Branch (No Ranking)

40. Patrick Crayton (No Ranking)

Week 10 Fantasy Review- RB

I was impressed with the performance of Beanie Wells.  He's improved as the season's progressed.  Pre-game rankings are in parenthesis.

1. Chris Johnson (3)

2. Steven Jackson (5)

3. Beanie Wells (31)

4. Adrian Peterson (1)

5. LaDanian Tomlinson (30)

6. Reggie Bush (37)

7. Maurice Jones-Drew (8)

8. Jonathan Stewart (27)

9. Justin Forsett (No Ranking)

10. Frank Gore (7)

11. Joseph Addai (13)

12. Ladell Betts (22)

13. Jamaal Charles (33)

14. Matt Forte (15)

15. Justin Snelling (No Ranking)

16. Ray Rice (4)

17. Thomas Jones (9)

18. Ronnie Brown (10)

19. DeAngelo Williams (6)

20. Michael Bush (No Ranking)

21. Michael Turner (2)

22. Cadillac Williams (34)

23. Fred Jackson (38)

24. Bernard Scott (No Ranking)

25. Rickey Williams (16)

26. Justin Fargas (28)

27. Mike Sellers (No Ranking)

28. Knowshon Moreno (23)

29. Laurence Maroney (29)

30. Mike Tolbert (No Ranking)

31. Kevin Faulk (No Ranking)

32. Ryan Grant (16)

33. Tim Hightower (25)

34. Brian Westbrook (17)

35. Rock Cartwright (No Ranking)

36. Darren Sproles (35)

37. Marshawn Lynch (24)

38. Kevin Smith (20)

39. Louis Rankin (No Ranking)

40. Jamal Lewis (No Ranking)

Week 10 Fantasy Review- QB

The big disappointment is Drew Brees's performance against the lowly Rams.  He finished 13 this week.  To give him credit, he did lead his team to a win.  Pre-game rankings are in parenthesis.

1. Peyton Manning (4)

2. Tom Brady (3)

3. Donovan McNabb (10)

4. Kurt Warner (6)

5. Aaron Rodgers (5)

6. Brett Favre (2)

7. David Garrard (18)

8. Philip Rivers (11)

9. Jake Delhomme (No Ranking)

10. Kyle Orton (16)

11. Matthew Stafford (17)

12. Matt Hasselbeck (13)

13. Drew Brees (1)

14. Jason Campbell (No Ranking)

15. Vince Young (15)

16. Tony Romo (8)

17. Jason Freeman (No Ranking)

18. Trent Edwards (No Ranking)

19. Chad Henne (No Ranking)

20. Matt Ryan (20)

Week 10 Game Review- Part 4

I missed two games with this grouping.  Bill Belichick should have punted, or at least not wasted his timeouts.  It should have been one, but those are the breaks.

Philadelphia at San Diego

I hope Brian Westbrook gets better soon.  Another concussion.  That's tough.  The Eagles should have won this game.  They gained 130 more yards, while the protection was basically even.  They lost it with six additional penalties, and scoring just two touchdowns in their five red zone trips.  That's not good enough against a quality opponent, like San Diego.  Also, the Chargers were +1 in turnover differential.

New England at Indianapolis

The ending of the game has been repeated ad nauseum.  The pressure and turnovers was even.  The Patriots dominated in yards, with 70 more, and time of possession, with a ten minute advantage.  The reason why the Colts won is because they were 100% in the red zone, while New England was 50% on three additional opportunities.  Great throw and catch to win the game by Peyton Manning and Reggie Wayne.

Baltimore at Cleveland

This was a brutal game.  The teams combined to gain fewer yards (434) than Donovan McNabb threw himself on Sunday (450).  The Ravens were +2 in turnovers and allowed just 160 yards of offense from Cleveland.  Still, if they want a deep run in the playoffs, they need to play better than they did yesterday.

Week 10 Game Review- Part 3

Two out of three ain't bad.  Right?  The game I missed was Dallas-Green Bay.  In previous couple of games, Dallas was playing inspired football, while Green Bay was far from it.

Kansas City at Oakland

This had to be an ugly game to watch.  JaMarcus Russell was pulled from another game, due to ineffective play.  Both teams did a respectable job at protecting the quarterback.  Oakland played stingy red zone defense, as they didn't allow a touchdown in three opportunities for the Chiefs, and they were +1 in the turnover battle.  The Chiefs gained about 50 more yards, but they won it, due to a five penalty advantage.

Dallas at Green Bay

I teased this game above.  Both teams gained approximately the same number of total yards, while allowing the opposing team to pressure their quarterback.  The differences were glaring.  The Packers were 100% in the red zone, while the Cowboys were 33%.  Green Bay was +3 in turnover differential, and held the ball for 12 additional minutes.

Seattle at Arizona

Based upon the numbers, this game had to be entertaining to watch.  Both teams combined to gain over 900 yards of offense.  Arizona's strengths were they were able to protect Kurt Warner, who took just one hit, and pressure Matt Hasselbeck, who they sacked four times on seven hits.  Also, the Cardinals were 60% in the red zone, while forcing Seattle to just 25% in their chances, and Arizona was +2 in the turnover battle.

Week 10 Game Review- Part 2

I missed all games in this batch.  All are explainable.

Jacksonville at New York Jets

I was surprised that the Jets defense didn't play better, considering they were coming off of a bye.  They are reeling from the loss of Kris Jenkins several weeks back.  Still, the numbers indicate it was a close game.  The Jets created more pressure on David Garrard, while they protected Mark Sanchez.  The difference was the red zone and turnovers, as the Jaguars would have been 67% in the red zone, had Maurice Jones-Drew didn't take a knee, and they were +2 in the turnover department.

Cincinnati at Pittsburgh

Talk about a close game.  The numbers were very close.  The reason I took Pittsburgh originally was because Troy Polamalu didn't play the first time, and he was healthy to start this one.  However, Polamalu was injured again, and the Bengals played well on defense yet again.  Both teams were terrible in the red zone, and total yards were virtually even.  The difference was turnovers, as Cincinnati was +1 in the battle.

Denver at Washington

Another game I missed.  However, if Kyle Orton doesn't injure his ankle, the Broncos win the game.  Chris Simms was terrible coming in to relief Orton. To credit Washington, they ended up dominating in total yards, held Denver to oh for one in the red zone, held the ball for 14 additional minutes, and won the turnover battle at +2.

Atlanta at Carolina

The Panthers had a very win here.  They protected extremely well, were perfect in the red zone, and were +2 in the turnover department.  The Falcons should have done better in the red zone, as they were 40% on five opportunities, especially after gaining 400 yards of total offense.

Week 10 Game Review- Part 1

After a good start, it was a rough week for me.  I went just 8-7.  Pretty disappointed about that.  However, with this batch of games I was perfect.

Buffalo at Tennessee

The Titans completely dominated the Bills.  The line kept Vince Young clean, as he took just one hit.  They were perfect in the red zone, while allowing the Bills to convert just 50% of their attempts into touchdowns.  Not only did they win the turnover battle at +1, but they also gained over 80 more yards of offense.  That's three in a row for the Titans.

New Orleans at St. Louis

This game was a surprise.  The Saints haven't dominated in what feels like ages.  Both teams did a good job at protecting the quarterback.  The Rams actually out gained the Saints by 14 yards of offense and won the turnover battle at +2.  The difference was New Orleans was 67% in the red zone, while the Rams were just 50%.  In a five point game, that difference is monumental.

Tampa Bay at Miami

Miami won the battle of southern Florida, but not without cost.  They lost possibly their most productive player in Ronnie Brown for a game or two.  This game was as even as the score indicated.  Both teams protected the quarterback and were even in turnover differential.  Miami gained over 70 more than Tampa Bay, which correlated with the three additional red zone chances.  Even though the Dolphins were were just 50% in the red zone, it was enough for victory.

Detroit at Minnesota

The Vikings should have won this game by a wider margin.  Their defense had a whopping 12 hits on Matthew Stafford, while keeping Brett Favre clean.  The offense gained nearly 200 additional yards of offense, as well.  The reasons the game was relatively "close" was red zone conversions, 33% on six opportunities, penalties, nine more, and were -1 in the turnover battle.  If the Vikings want to win the Super Bowl, they have to do better in the red zone.

Thursday night game review

Chicago at San Francisco

I thought it would be close, albeit it higher scoring.  The Bears dominated in yards, but turnovers, especially in the red zone killed them.  That said, San Francisco did not take advantage of the five interceptions off of Jay Cutler.  The game should not have been as close as it was.  The 49ers need to move the ball more effectively, and take advantage of turnovers if they want to make the playoffs.

Week 10 Fantasy Preview-TE

1. Dallas Clark

2. Antonio Gates

3. Brent Celek

4. Visanthe Shiancoe

5. Jason Witten

6. Vernon Davis

7. Zach Miller

8. Tony Gonzalez

9. Jeremy Shockey

10. Greg Olsen

11. Heath Miller

12. Todd Heap

13. Dustin Keller

14. Joey Haynos

15. Kellen Winslow, Jr.

16. Jon Carlson

17. Benjamin Watson

18. Brandon Pettigrew

19. Fred Davis

20. Spencer Havner

Week 10 Fantasy Preview- WR

1. Marques Colston

2. Randy Moss

3. Larry Fitzgerald

4. Reggie Wayne

5. Miles Austin

6. Braylon Edwards

7. Donald Driver

8. Vincent Jackson

9. Sidney Rice

10. Chad Ochocinco

11. Steve Smith, Car

12. Wes Welker

13. DeSean Jackson

14. Roddy White

15. Hines Ward

16. Nate Burleson

17. Anquan Boldin

18. Mike Sims-Walker

19. Brandon Marshall

20. Dwayne Bowe

21. Calvin Johnson

22. Percy Harvin

23. Michael Crabtree

24. Derrick Mason

25. TJ Houshmandzadeh

26. Nate Washington

27. Lee Evans

28. Santana Moss

29. Greg Jennings

30. Devin Hester

31. Jerecho Cotchery

32. Santonio Holmes

33. Steve Breaston

34. Malcom Floyd

35. Austin Collie

36. Devery Henderson

37. Bernard Berrian

38. Kelley Washington

39. Sammie Stroughter

40. Mike Wallace

Week 10 Fantasy Preview- RB

As I mentioned previously, the players that played last night are ranked based upon where I would have placed them prior to the game.

1. Adrian Peterson

2. Michael Turner

3. Chris Johnson

4. Ray Rice

5. Steven Jackson

6. DeAngelo Williams

7. Frank Gore

8. Maurice Jones-Drew

9. Thomas Jones

10. Ronnie Brown

11. Cedric Benson

12. Pierre Thomas

13. Joseph Addai

14. Rashard Mendenhall

15. Matt Forte

16. Ryan Grant

17. Brian Westbrook

18. Marian Barber

19. Rickey Williams

20. Kevin Smith

21. Julius Jones

22. Ladell Betts

23. Knowshon Moreno

24. Marshawn Lynch

25. Tim Hightower

26. Correll Buckhalter

27. Jonathan Stewart

28. Justin Fargas

29. Laurence Maroney

30. LaDanian Tomlinson

31. Beanie Wells

32. Chester Taylor

33. Jamaal Charles

34. Cadillac Williams

35. Darren Sproles

36. LeSean McCoy

37. Reggie Bush

38. Fred Jackson

39. Shonn Greene

40. Felix Jones

Week 10 Fantasy Preview- QB

I acknowledge I'm writing this after the Thursday night game.  The players from the Bears and 49ers are ranked based on how I would have ranked them prior to the game.  If you don't believe me, scroll down to number 12.

1. Drew Brees

2. Brett Favre

3. Tom Brady

4. Peyton Manning

5. Aaron Rodgers

6. Kurt Warner

7. Joe Flacco

8. Tony Romo

9. Ben Roethlisberger

10. Donovan McNabb

11. Philip Rivers

12. Jay Cutler

13. Matt Hasselbeck

14. Carson Palmer

15. Vince Young

16. Kyle Orton

17. Matthew Stafford

18. David Garrard

19. Alex Smith

20. Matt Ryan

Week 10 NFL Preview- Part 4

Philadelphia at San Diego

These teams are very similar.  The yardage gained and allowed are about the same, protection is similar, and the red zone percentage offensively and defensively is close.  The differences are pressure and turnover differential.  The Eagles have 17 more quarterback hits and are +11 in the turnover battle this season.  Final score 27-21 Philadelphia.

New England at Indianapolis

This was matchup I alluded to in the Cincinnati-Pittsburgh preview.  This is for the team of the decade.  The numbers between these teams is very similar.  Both are top three teams this season.  The home crowd edge goes to the Colts, and Peyton Manning has been more effective than Tom Brady this season.  However, the Colts are hurt by the injuries in their secondary.  And that will be the difference between the teams. 31-28 New England.

Baltimore at Cleveland

Another divisional matchup.  However, Baltimore should dominate this game.  They average about 140 more yards per game, while Cleveland gives up about 90 more.  Also, the Ravens have three times as many red zone touchdowns as the Browns.  Cleveland is -11 in the turnover department, while Baltimore is +2.  Baltimore is better in so many categories.  I expect a big games from Joe Flacco and Ray Rice.  Final score 45-10 Baltimore.

Week 10 NFL Preview- Part 3

Kansas City at Oakland

How have the mighty have fallen!  This game used to determine the AFC West.  No longer.  This year it could determine a top-five draft choice.  The Chiefs offensive line allows too many hit, however the Raiders offense has been horrible this season.  They have scored just four red zone touchdowns this season, whilst having a -9 turnover differential.  Final score 16-10 Kansas City.

Dallas at Green Bay

The Cowboys have been on a roll, while the Packers have hit a two game skid.  Most of the numbers fall in the Packers direction, except quarterback pressure.  They cannot protect Aaron Rodgers.  I think the game will be a shootout, but that defficiency will prove to be the Packers undoing.  Final score 38-31 Dallas.

Seattle at Arizona

This is another big divisional game.  It will determine if the Seahawks have a chance to claw back into the race, or the Cardinals strengthen their grip at the top of the division.  The numbers are close for both teams.  While Arizona has a -6 turnover differential, it is due to that horrible game Kurt Warner had a couple of weeks ago.  The bigger number is the 20 red zone touchdowns that the Cardinals have scored this season- at about a 70% rate, which is very good.  Final score 28-17 Arizona.

Week 10 NFL Preview- Part 2

Jacksonville at New York Jets

Another case of the home team coming off of a bye.  I think it was what the doctor ordered for Mark Sanchez, who's been a turnover machine over the last several weeks.  Also, defensively, the Jets are superior.  They generate pressure, are stingy in the red zone, and can create turnovers.  The Jaguars have allowed a lot of pressure on David Garrard, while giving up 90 more yards per game than the Jets.  Final score 27-10 New York.

Cincinnati at Pittsburgh

If the battle for decade supremacy wasn't occurring Sunday night, this would be the game of the week.  Cincinnati already has a game on the Steelers, and it's for first place, so this huge for both teams.  The numbers skew to the Bengals, however the Steelers will benefit with Troy Polamalu in the lineup.  I wouldn't be surprised if either team wins.  It will be another close one, but the Steelers will pull it out at home.  Final 21-17 Pittsburgh.

Denver at Washington

Both teams are coming into this game on losing streaks.  Barring a tie, one of them will break their streak.  The Redskins still haven't broken the 17 point barrier this season, and their line is in shambles.  Those facts are unfortunate for their defense, which has been solid this season, but are on the field too long, so they wear down.  Denver enters the game with better pass protection and quarterback pressure.  The Broncos should win this game.  Final score 24-14 Denver.

Atlanta at Carolina

Another divisional game.  Carolina has improved as the season has progressed, and like Atlanta, gave New Orleans a run for the money.  However, the Falcons protect better, generate more pressure, are more effective in the red zone, both offensively and defensively, and are +4 in the turnover department.  The Falcons should win this game.  Final score 31-21 Atlanta.

Week 10 NFL Preview- Part 1

Buffalo at Tennessee

Talk about two teams with disappointing seasons.  The Bills and the Titans would top most lists.  However, since the change to Vince Young the Titans have been very competitive, and have won their previous two games.  On the other side of the ball, the Bills are coming off their bye week.  The Titans are much better in the red zone and at protecting the quarterback.  Final score 24-14 Tennessee.

New Orleans at St. Louis

This game should even be close, and St. Louis is home coming off of a bye.  Their offense just won't be able to maintain a scoring race with the Saints, very few teams are.  The Rams have scored just four red zone touchdowns this season, while the Saints have scored more than six times that number.  Also, the Rams are -11 in the turnover department, while the Saints are +8.  Final score 38-14 New Orleans.

Tampa Bay at Miami

The battle of southern Florida!  This could actually be a close game.  Tampa Bay played a very solid game last week with Josh Freeman at quarterback.  The numbers are actually very similar between these teams.  The major difference is in the red zone.  The Dolphins are much more proficient at scoring offensively, and preventing touchdowns defensively.  It should be close, but the Dolphins will win.  Final score 24-17 Miami.

Detroit at Minnesota

A divisional game featuring teams on either end of the NFC North.  This should be a blowout.  The Lions have done a poor job at protecting the quarterback, while the Vikings have been excellent at creating pressure.  Minnesota is much better in the red zone and are +5 in turnovers, while the Lions are -7.  Minnesota should win this handily.  Final score 45-21 Minnesota.

Week 10 Thursday Night Preview

Chicago at San Francisco

This is a tight matchup.  When I ranked both teams at midseason, they were right next to one another at 18 and 17, respectively.  With the shortened week, it will probably be higher-scoring, as the defenses have a shorter time to prepare.  The Bears have a 50 yard advantage in yards gained per game, and protect better, while the 49ers are much more efficient in the red zone, both offensively and defensively.  On a full week, I would have taken Chicago.  However, it is a shortened week and they have to travel.  That advantage has to go to the 49ers.  It will be a shootout.  Final score 31-28 San Francisco.

Week 9 Fantasy Review- TE

I missed on Jeremy Shockey, Fred Davis, and Sean Ryan this week.  Overall, tight ends were all over the place this week.  Pre-game rankings are in parenthesis.

1. Greg Olsen (12)

2. Brandon Pettigrew (No Ranking)

3. Dallas Clark (1)

4. Kellen Winslow, Jr. (13)

5. Tony Gonzalez (4)

6. Vernon Davis (8)

7. Brent Celek (5)

8. Joey Haynos (No Ranking)

9. Anthony Becht (No Ranking)

10. Kevin Boss (9)

11. Ben Patrick (No Ranking)

12. Todd Yoder (No Ranking)

13. Antonio Gates (3)

14. Kris Wilson (No Ranking)

15. Jason Witten (2)

16. Casey Fitzsimmons (No Ranking)

17. Benjamin Watson (15)

18. Jon Carlson (7)

19. Gary Barnidge (No Ranking)

20. JP Foschi (No Ranking)

Week 9 Fantasy Review- WR

This was a bad week for the top wide receivers.  Reggie Wayne, Marques Colston, DeSean Jackson, Roddy White, and Chad Ochocinco all did not reach the top 40 this week.  The pre-game rankings are in parenthesis.

1. Larry Fitzgerald (5)

2. Randy Moss (2)

3. Mike Sims-Walker (10)

4. Chris Chambers (No Ranking)

5. Vincent Jackson (3)

6. Jason Hill (No Ranking)

7. Derrick Ward (19)

8. James Jones (No Ranking)

9. Robert Meacham (No Ranking)

10. Steve Breaston (25)

11. Donald Driver (17)

12. Mike Wallace (40)

13. Brandon Marshall (20)

14. Steve Smith, NYG (16)

15. Andre Johnson (4)

16. Miles Austin (13)

17. TJ Houshmandzadeh (27)

18. Bryant Johnson (No Ranking)

19. Justin Gage (No Ranking)

20. Devery Henderson (35)

21. Santonio Holmes (30)

22. Devin Hester (18)

23. Earl Bennett (No Ranking)

24. Wes Welker (8)

25. Laverneus Coles (No Ranking)

26. Nate Burleson (23)

27. Roy Williams (No Ranking)

28. Patrick Crayton (28)

29. Greg Caramillo (No Ranking)

30. Dwayne Bowe (12)

31. Eddie Royal (No Ranking)

32. Andre Caldwell (No Ranking)

33. Lance Long (No Ranking)

34. Sammie Stroughter (No Ranking)

35. Steve Smith, Car (15)

36. Kevin Walter (34)

37. Greg Jennings (14)

38. Jacoby Jones (No Ranking)

39. Pierre Garcon (21)

40. Mario Manningham (No Ranking)

Week 9 Fantasy Review- RB

My big miss at running back was Ladell Betts, because of the Clinton Portis injury.  I thought Portis would have a good game against Atlanta, but Betts was the one who received the gravy.  As always, the pre-game ranking is in parenthesis.

1. Michael Turner (3)

2. Chris Johnson (5)

3. DeAngelo Williams (2)

4. Joseph Addai (13)

5. Frank Gore (11)

6. Maurice Jones-Drew (1)

7. Ray Rice (9)

8. Cedric Benson (7)

9. Julius Jones (12)

10. Ladell Betts (No Ranking)

11. Ryan Grant (6)

12. Rashard Mendenhall (22)

13. Laurence Maroney (34)

14. Pierre Thomas (10)

15. Derrick Ward (No Ranking)

16. LeSean McCoy (38)

17. Matt Forte (15)

18. Roy Williams (16)

19. Ronnie Brown (4)

20. Ryan Moats (25)

21. Steve Slaton (21)

22. Tim Hightower (24)

23. Rashad Jennings (No Ranking)

24. Marian Barber (20)

25. Tashard Choice (No Ranking)

26. Beanie Wells (33)

27. Brandon Jacobs (18)

28. Kevin Smith (40)

29. Jamaal Charles (30)

30. Ahman Green (No Ranking)

31. Mike Sellers (No Ranking)

32. Cadillac Williams (23)

33. Ahmad Bradshaw (28)

34. Justin Forsett (No Ranking)

35. Kevin Faulk (No Ranking)

36. Reggie Bush (39)

37. Maurice Morris (36)

38. Leonard Weaver (No Ranking)

39. Aaron Stecker (No Ranking)

40. LaDanian Tomlinson (19)

Week 9 Fantasy Review- QB

My big miss this week at quarterback was Josh Freeman.  He looked very good against Green Bay, and his stats back it up.  He placed third this week.  Here are the rest with the pre-game ranking in parenthesis.

1. Kurt Warner (9)

2. Jay Cutler (18)

3. Josh Freeman (No Ranking)

4. Aaron Rodgers (3)

5. Matt Cassel (16)

6. Tom Brady (1)

7. Philip Rivers (5)

8. Ben Roethlisberger (8)

9. David Garrard (14)

10. Eli Manning (17)

11. Matt Hasselbeck (7)

12. Peyton Manning (2)

13. Tony Romo (12)

14. Matt Schaub (10)

15. Drew Brees (4)

16. Carson Palmer (11)

17. Jason Campbell (No Ranking)

18. Vince Young (No Ranking)

19. Alex Smith (19)

20. Donovan McNabb (6)

Week 9 Game Review- Part 4

I did not do so well with this batch of games.  I missed both the Tennessee-San Francisco and Dallas-Philadelphia games.  My reasoning for picking San Francisco was due to Vince Young going on the road for the first time in over a year against a good defense.  For the night game, I thought Dallas's secondary wouldn't be able to cover all the Eagles weapons, and it would be a high-scoring game.  Against the Eagles, most teams lose a track meet.  Instead, it was a defensive struggle.

Tennessee at San Francisco

I mentioned this game above.  Vince Young has been impressive in his two games back as the starter.  He took just one sack on one hit, and led an offense that didn't turn the ball over.  Despite gaining 40 more yards and holding the ball for eight more minutes, the 49ers lost.  How did it happen?  They coughed the ball up four times.  Not many teams win with a -4 disadvantage in the turnover battle

Dallas at Philadelphia

Another game I mentioned earlier.  An additional thought crept in my mind when I predicted the game, Tony Romo has had some terrible games against the Eagles recently.  I thought he was due for another one.  Both teams were effective at pressuring the quarterback and committed a lot of penalties.  Dallas won because they gained 60 more yards and were +1 in turnover differential.

Pittsburgh at Denver

This was more of a gut call for me.  Denver's offense runs with a minimal margin of error, and Pittsburgh has a tough, physical defense, with a healthy Troy Polamalu, coming off a bye week.  The Steelers dominated this game.  They were 75% in the red zone, while not allowing an attempt from Denver, gained over 130 more yards, and won the turnover battle at +1.  I'm looking forward to the Cincinnati-Pittsburgh game next week.

Week 9 Game Review- Part 3

For the third group of games, I was correct on all three.  I though the Seahawks would have had a higher margin of victory, due to the fact it was a home game, and Detroit had so many starters playing with injuries.

Detroit at Seattle

I mentioned this game above.  As I noted, Detroit had "just" a 12 point margin of victory.  Seattle should have won by more, as they forced five turnovers (a +3 turnover edge), gained nearly 100 more yards, and kept Matt Hasselbeck relatively clean.  The reason it was closer than it should have been was because they converted just 33% of their six red zone chances into touchdowns.

Carolina at New Orleans

When I reviewed the numbers, I figured there would be a ten point difference in the score, because Carolina would hold the ball with their running game, and they did have a five minute advantage.  Both teams were terrible in the red zone.  Carolina was 25% and New Orleans was 20%.  The reasons the Saints won the game was because they gained 40 more yards and were +1 in the turnover battle.

San Diego at New York Giants

Most of the numbers indicate that the Giants should have won the game.  They gained nearly 80 more yards, had a 16 minute time of possession advantage, and were +1 in the turnover battle.  Penalties, pressure, and the red zone, yet again, haunted the Giants.  They committed six more penalties and allowed Eli Manning to be sacked five times.  The largest edge for San Diego was the red zone.  They were three for three, while the Giants were just 50% on their four opportunities.

Week 9 Game Review- Part 2

In this batch of games, I missed the Green Bay-Tampa Bay game.  But who didn't?  Third starting quarterback of the season, and a rookie to boot, it had the makings of a potential blowout, even considering the heartbreaking loss to Minnesota last week.

Miami at New England

Based upon the yardage gained and red zone conversion percentage, the Patriots kept the Dolphins in this ball game.  The Patriots gained 100 more yards on the day and were 25% in the red zone, as the Dolphins were 100%.  Miami even won the turnover battle with a +1 advantage.  However, it wasn't enough to contain Tom Brady.

Green Bay at Tampa Bay

I teased this game in my opening.  I thought it could potentially be tough with the injuries Aaron Rodgers, Donald Driver, and the offensive line.  Another home team coming off a bye for a win.  The Bucs won despite allowing over 400 yards of offense, while gaining 120 fewer yards, and holding the ball for 11 fewer minutes.  The reasons Tampa Bay won were they sacked Rodgers six times on 12 hits, and were +2 in turnover differential.

Kansas City at Jacksonville

This game should have been a blowout.  Jacksonville had the best player on the field in Maurice Jones-Drew, and he had yet another solid performance.  It was a three point game, despite the Jaguars hitting Matt Cassel eight times, held the ball for 12 more minutes, and gained over 120 more yards.  The reason it was close was due to the Chiefs +2 edge in turnovers.  The Jaguars should have won by double digits.

Week 9 Game Review- Part 1

I went 9-3 on Sunday's games.  I was perfect with this batch of games.  Two of them surprised me most was the dominance Cincinnati showed over Baltimore, as they swept the season series, and Arizona flat out decimating Chicago's defense.

Washington at Atlanta

The Redskins managed to make this a game, as they matched Atlanta's high-powered offense in yards gained, held the ball longer, and were even in the turnover battle.  They lost the game because they were unable to protect Jason Campbell and committed three additional penalties.  The Falcons have to do better in the red zone, as they allowed Washington to go perfect in both of their opportunities.

Arizona at Chicago

As I mentioned above, the Cardinals demolished the Bears defense.  They scored touchdowns on five of their six red zone trips, did a good job at keeping Kurt Warner protected, and gained over 400 yards of offense.  The Bears hurt themselves with seven more penalties, and allowing eight hits on Jay Cutler.  On the bright side, the Bears did gain over 400 yards of offense themselves.

Baltimore at Cincinnati

This was the other game I mentioned in my opening.  Cincinnati dominated this game.  They gained nearly 150 more yards of offense, did a good job at protecting Carson Palmer, went 67% in the red zone, had a +1 turnover differential, and held the ball a whopping 20 minutes longer.  The Ravens were unable to protect Joe Flacco, as they allowed four sacks on eight hits.

Houston at Indianapolis

The numbers indicate how close this game really was.  The yards were even.  Houston was more effective in the red zone 67%, compared to 50%, and held the ball longer.  The big difference was the pressure on Matt Schaub.  He took six hits, compared to the two hits Peyton Manning took.

Week 9 Fantasy Preview- TE

1. Dallas Clark

2. Jason Witten

3. Antonio Gates

4. Tony Gonzalez

5. Brent Celek

6. Jeremy Shockey

7. Jon Carlson

8. Vernon Davis

9. Kevin Boss

10. Sean Ryan

11. Fred Davis

12. Greg Olsen

13. Kellen Winslow, Jr.

14. Heath Miller

15. Benjamin Watson

16. Bo Scaife

17. Spencer Havner

18. Todd Heap

19. Martellus Bennett

20. Tony Fasano

Week 9 Fantasy Preview- WR

1. Reggie Wayne

2. Randy Moss

3. Vincent Jackson

4. Andre Johnson

5. Larry Fitzgerald

6. Roddy White

7. Marques Colston

8. Wes Welker

9. Chad Ochocinco

10. Mike Sims-Walker

11. DeSean Jackson

12. Dwayne Bowe

13. Miles Austin

14. Greg Jennings

15. Steve Smith, Car

16. Steve Smith, NYG

17. Donald Driver

18. Devin Hester

19. Hines Ward

20. Brandon Marshall

21. Pierre Garcon

22. Derrick Mason

23. Nate Burleson

24. Jeremy Maclin

25. Steve Breaston

26. Michael Crabtree

27. TJ Houshmandzadeh

28. Patrick Crayton

29. Johnnie Knox

30. Santonio Holmes

31. Bobbie Wade

32. Michael Jenkins

33. Santana Moss

34. Kevin Walter

35. Devery Henderson

36. Isaac Bruce

37. Nate Washington

38. Calvin Johnson

39. Hakeem Nicks

40. Mike Wallace

Week 9 Fantasy Preview- RB

1. Maurice Jones-Drew

2. DeAngelo Williams

3. Michael Turner

4. Ronnie Brown

5. Chris Johnson

6. Ryan Grant

7. Cedric Benson

8. Clinton Portis

9. Ray Rice

10. Pierre Thomas

11. Frank Gore

12. Julius Jones

13. Joseph Addai

14. Brian Westbrook

15. Matt Forte

16. Rickey Williams

17. Jonathan Stewart

18. Brandon Jacobs

19. LaDanian Tomlinson

20. Marian Barber

21. Steve Slaton

22. Rashard Mendenhall

23. Cadillac Williams

24. Tim Hightower

25. Ryan Moats

26. Mike Bell

27. Donald Brown

28. Ahmad Bradshaw

29. Darren Sproles

30. Jamal Charles

31. Knowshon Moreno

32. Felix Jones

33. Beanie Wells

34. Laurence Maroney

35. Correll Buckhalter

36. Maurice Morris

37. Willis McGahee

38. LeSean McCoy

39. Reggie Bush

40. Kevin Smith

Week 9 Fantasy Preview- QB

1. Tom Brady

2. Peyton Manning

3. Aaron Rodgers

4. Drew Brees

5. Philip Rivers

6. Donovan McNabb

7. Matt Hasselbeck

8. Ben Rothlisberger

9. Kurt Warner

10. Matt Schaub

11. Carson Palmer

12. Tony Romo

13. Matt Ryan

14. David Garrard

15. Joe Flacco

16. Matt Cassel

17. Eli Manning

18. Jay Cutler

19. Alex Smith

20. Kyle Orton

Week 9 NFL Preview- Part 4

Tennessee at San Francisco

On the defensive side of the ball, the 49ers are vastly superior.  Vince Young hasn't started a road game in over a year.  I'm leaning towards San Francisco, especially after Michael Crabtree's first two games.  He's been an absolute stud for the 49ers.  I can see Tennessee winning, but I'm going with the 49ers.  Final score 20-13 San Francisco.

Dallas at Philadelphia

The Eagles are much better in yards against, forcing turnovers, and quarterback pressure than the Cowboys.  In fact, I don't think Dallas has an answer for Philadelphia's big play offense.  They can score from any point on the field, and Dallas is in the bottom third in the league in yards against.  I see fireworks for the Sunday night game.  Final score 38-28 Philadelphia.

Pittsburgh at Denver

The numbers tell me that Denver should win this game, especially since Ryan Clark isn't going to play for the Steelers.  However, Pittsburgh has had an additional week to prepare for this game, while Denver took a pounding from Baltimore.  Final score 17-13 Pittsburgh.

Week 9 NFL Preview- Part 3

Detroit at Seattle

Based upon the numbers, this has the potential to be an ugly game, but I don't see it.  Both teams are coming off of tough losses.  I'm going to take Seattle, as their biggest advantage is in pressuring the quarterback.  Plus, Matthew Stafford is coming off an injury, and Kevin Smith and Calvin Johnson are both injured.  Final score 41-10 Seattle.

Carolina at New Orleans

The Sedric Ellis injury hurts the Saints in this one, because Carolina wants to run the ball with DeAngelo Williams and Jonathan Stewart.  That said, Drew Brees and the New Orleans offense can move the ball at will, and is excellent in the red zone.  It may be a closer than most think, but New Orleans wins.  Final score 34-24.

San Diego at New York Giants

This is another intriguing matchup.  The Giants have a lot to prove after their whooping by the Eagles.  San Diego has suffered through several injuries on both the offensive and defensive fronts, while the Giants secondary has been banged up.  I'm going to take the Chargers, but I wouldn't be surprised if the Giants win.  Final score 21-17 San Diego.

Week 9 NFL Preview- Part 2

Miami at New England

Home team coming off the bye, I have to go with the Patriots for this game.  They are significantly better moving and defending the football, as well as protecting and taking away the ball.  Miami doesn't have the Wildcat to unveil, and the Saints and Jets have shown how to contain it on film.  Final score 38-21 New England.

Green Bay at Tampa Bay

Another game with the home team coming off the bye week.  However, Tampa Bay has been awful this season, and they're starting their third quarterback of the season, rookie first round pick Josh Freeman.  The Packers advantage is in yards for and against, as they are top ten in both, while Tampa Bay is bottom five in both categories.  Final score 35-17 Green Bay.

Kansas City at Jacksonville

This is a tight game, albeit between two bottom ten teams in the league.  I can see the Chiefs pulling off the upset, but I'm going to go with the Jaguars.  They have the best player on the field in Maurice Jones-Drew, and I think they'll feed him the ball more than eight carries, like last week.  And the Jaguars advantage is in yards gained, which isn't a surprise with Jones-Drew on their side.  Final score 28-20 Jacksonville.

Week 9 NFL Preview- Part 1

Washington at Atlanta

The Falcons are a team on the rise, Monday night's game notwithstanding, while the Redskins are a team in turmoil.  Atlanta is vastly superior at protecting the quarterback and converting red zone chances into touchdowns.  Washington's edge is defensive yards against.  However, their offense doesn't help their defense, as they haven't scored more than 17 points in a game, and arguably their best player Chris Cooley is out this week.  Final score 28-13 Atlanta.

Arizona at Chicago

Based upon the numbers, this is one of the tighter games this week.  The Cardinals are coming off a humiliating home defeat to Carolina last week, and Kurt Warner committed six turnovers.  On the other side of the ball, the Bears dominated in their win against Cleveland.  The big difference is in the red zone.  Arizona is very good at converting their opportunities into touchdowns, while Chicago has given up a lot of touchdowns in the red zone.  I'm predicting a mild upset.  Final score 27-24 Arizona.

Baltimore at Cincinnati

Another tightly matched game.  It's even closer than the previous game.  Plus, Baltimore is searching for revenge.  They are both in my top ten, nine and eight respectively.  However, I have to side with the home team coming off its bye week.  Also, the Bengals advantage is protecting and pressuring the quarterback.  I wouldn't be surprised to see the Ravens to win the game though.  Final score 21-20 Cincinnati.

Houston at Indianapolis

A first-second place battle.  This slate of games is only getting better.  It would take a perfect game from the Texans- which they are capable of with their talent- to win this game.  I don't see it.  Even playing without Bob Sanders, the Colts defense is formidable and I've been fawning over Peyton Manning and the sensational season he's had.  The numbers say it should be close, but the injury to Owen Daniels and his backup hurt Matt Schaub.  Final score 31-21 Indianapolis. 

Half Season Power Rankings

These rankings are based upon the data I've compiled regarding pressure, total yards, red zone conversions, and turnovers, all for and against.  There are some surprises, such as the Jets as a top five team and the Bucs outside of the bottom five.  Using those examples, it tells me the Jets clearly need to do a better job at closing out games, and Tampa Bay takes care of the football, while doing a good job at creating turnovers.  My half season MVP is still Peyton Manning, even if he was held without a touchdown last week.  Drew Brees is my number two player in the MVP watch.  I'll have the quarter season ranking in parenthesis.

1. Indianapolis (1)

2. New Orleans (2)

3. New England (8)

4. New York Jets (5)

5. Minnesota (6)

6. Denver (10)

7. Philadelphia (9)

8. Cincinnati (11)

9. Baltimore (4)

10. Green Bay (16)

11. New York Giants (3)

12. Houston (20)

13. Atlanta (12)

14. Dallas (18)

15. Pittsburgh (13)

16. San Diego (15)

17. San Francisco (7)

18. Chicago (14)

19. Miami (21)

20. Arizona (19)

21. Washington (26)

22. Seattle (22)

23. Carolina (24)

24. Jacksonville (17)

25. Tampa Bay (29)

26. Tennessee (27)

27. Buffalo (25)

28. Kansas City (30)

29. Cleveland (32)

30. Detroit (23)

31. Oakland (28)

32. St. Louis (31)

Week 8 Fantasy Review- TE

Two big misses at the position.  First, I didn't anticipate the season-ending injury to Owen Daniels.  And second, with Jermichael Finley out with an injury, I anticipated that Donald Lee would have an uptick in targets, not Spencer Havner.  Overall, not a great week with this position.

1. Spencer Havner (No Ranking)

2. Kevin Boss (10)

3. Dustin Keller (19)

4. Brent Celek (8)

5. Dallas Clark (1)

6. Daniel Fells (No Ranking)

7. Tony Gonzalez (3)

8. Vernon Davis (14)

9. Joey Haynos (No Ranking)

10. Jeremy Shockey (2)

11. Visanthe Shiancoe (9)

12. Ben Patrick (No Ranking)

13. Jeff Dugan (No Ranking)

14. Zach Miller (7)

15. Antonio Gates (4)

16. Billy Bajema (No Ranking)

17. Greg Olsen (17)

18. Daniel Graham (No Ranking)

19. Jason Witten (6)

20. Jon Carlson (11)

Week 8 Fantasy Review- WR

My big miss this week was ranking Calvin Johnson.  I thought he would play, but was inactive at game time.  I also missed on three of my top ten guys.  TJ Houshmandzadeh, Mike Sims-Walker, and Sidney Rice.  Not a good week with this position.  Pre-game ranking is in parenthesis.

1. Reggie Wayne (4)

2. Roddy White (8)

3. Vincent Jackson (10)

4. Greg Jennings (20)

5. Marques Colston (6)

6. Percy Harvin (15)

7. Braylon Edwards (13)

8. Miles Austin (2)

9. DeSean Jackson (12)

10. Steve Smith, Car (22)

11. Ted Ginn Jr. (No Ranking)

12. Terrell Owens (No Ranking)

13. Derrick Mason (25)

14. Bernard Berrian (24)

15. Jeremy Maclin (32)

16. Deion Branch (No Ranking)

17. Patrick Crayton (34)

18. Sam Hurd (No Ranking)

19. Andre Johnson (14)

20. Nate Washington (No Ranking)

21. Devin Hester (19)

22. Roy Williams (No Ranking)

23. Jerecho Cotchery (38)

24. Donald Driver (7)

25. Nate Burleson (26)

26. Larry Fitzgerald (1)

27. Michael Jenkins (No Ranking)

28. Malcolm Floyd (No Ranking)

29. Steve Smith, NYG (16)

30. Austin Collie (35)

31. Michael Crabtree (28)

32. Isaac Bruce (No Ranking)

33. Kelley Washington (No Ranking)

34. David Anderson (No Ranking)

35. Steve Breaston (30)

36. Keenan Burton (No Ranking)

37. Pierre Garcon (27)

38. Hakeem Nicks (29)

39. Mike Thomas (No Ranking)

40. Jabar Gaffney (No Ranking)

Week 8 Fantasy Review- RB

I was pretty good with running backs this week.  Though, I missed Ryan Moats.  Who would have guessed Steve Slaton would be benched?  As always, pre-game ranking is in parenthesis.

1. Chris Johnson (3)

2. Ryan Moats (No Ranking)

3. Maurice Jones-Drew (1)

4. Matt Forte (7)

5. Steven Jackson (4)

6. Michael Turner (5)

7. Jonathan Stewart (33)

8. Frank Gore (14)

9. Adrian Peterson (2)

10. Pierre Thomas (16)

11. LaDanian Tomlinson (20)

12. Ray Rice (19)

13. DeAngelo Williams (8)

14. LeSean McCoy (21)

15. Tim Hightower (30)

16. Justin Fargas (24)

17. Leonard Weaver (No Ranking)

18. Thomas Jones (11)

19. Marian Barber (28)

20. Brandon Jacobs (12)

21. Joseph Addai (23)

22. Maurice Morris (No Ranking)

23. Julius Jones (10)

24. Ahmad Bradshaw (26)

25. Kevin Smith (9)

26. Justin Griffith (No Ranking)

27. Reggie Bush (32)

28. Knowshon Moreno (18)

29. LaRod Stephens-Howling (No Ranking)

30. Rickey Williams (17)

31. Jamal Lewis (31)

32. Felix Jones (38)

33. Ryan Grant (22)

34. Garrett Wolfe (No Ranking)

35. Correll Buckhalter (25)

36. LenDale White (No Ranking)

37. Marshawn Lynch (29)

38. Beanie Wells (27)

39. Michael Bush (40)

40. LeRon McClain (No Ranking)

Week 8 Fantasy Review- QB

I was good with quarterbacks this week, though Vince Young had a much better game than I thought he would.  The pre-game ranking is in parenthesis.

1. Aaron Rodgers (3)

2. Brett Favre (6)

3. Mark Sanchez (19)

4. Tony Romo (5)

5. Donovan McNabb (15)

6. Matt Hasselbeck (9)

7. Drew Brees (2)

8. Peyton Manning (1)

9. Vince Young (No Ranking)

10. Matthew Stafford (18)

11. Eli Manning (16)

12. Philip Rivers (14)

13. Joe Flacco (11)

14. Alex Smith (No Ranking)

15. Jay Cutler (10)

16. Matt Ryan (8)

17. Matt Schaub (4)

18. Chad Henne (17)

19. Jake Delhomme (No Ranking)

20. Kyle Orton (13)

Week 8 Game Review- Part 4

The game I missed in this grouping of games was the Carolina-Arizona matchup.  I'll review it further below, but I didn't expect Kurt Warner to transform into Jake Delhomme.

Carolina at Arizona

As I hinted above, turnovers were the difference in the ball game.  The yards were similar, and Arizona was a perfect three for three in the red zone, while the Panthers were just 50%.  Delhomme did get injured, which could be a good or bad thing for them, as he's thrown 13 picks on the season.  Kurt Warner has to improve if the Cardinals want to return to the Super Bowl.

Minnesota at Green Bay

The total yards was the only stat that was close in this game.  Minnesota did a much better job at protecting Brett Favre, and sacked Aaron Rodgers six times.  They were +2 in the turnover department, and were 80% in the red zone.

Atlanta at New Orleans

Another close game between division rivals.  Both teams did a good job at harassing the opposing quarterback, and moved the ball well on their opponent.  Atlanta actually won the turnover battle at +1, were ineffective in the red zone.  They were just 25%, while the Saints were 75%, and that was the difference in the ball game.

Week 8 Game Review- Part 3

For this group of games, I missed the Jacksonville-Tennessee game.  Basically, I thought that bringing in Vince Young would bottle up the Tennessee offense.  To be fair, Young played within himself, and had a very nice game.  I'll break this game down later.

San Francisco at Indianapolis

Give credit to the 49ers for their great game planning.  Holding the Colts offense to just 18 points, allowed zero red zone touchdowns in four opportunities, and limiting Peyton Manning to zero touchdown passes is no small feat.  They even sacked Manning three times.  The Colts won this game because they gained over 100 more yards, and were +2 in the turnover department.

Jacksonville at Tennessee

As mentioned earlier, Vince Young had a nice day, as he had no turnovers, but the Titans offensive line kept him clean, as he wasn't hit, nor took a sack.  The Titans had 100 more yards, were +2 in the turnover battle, and held the ball nearly 20 minutes longer.  My question.  Why did the Jaguars give Maurice Jones-Drew only eight carries?  He averaged over 22 yards per carry.  Coach Jack Del Rio is on the hot seat today.

Oakland at San Diego

Like I predicted, this was going to be a close game.  At first, I didn't understand why the Chargers allowed the Raiders to stay so close, as they pressured JaMarcus Russell with five sacks and held the Raiders to just 180 yards of offense.  Then, I saw the +1 turnover advantage for the Raiders.  The Chargers gained 150 more yards and were 75% in the red zone, which was how they won the game.

Week 8 Game Review- Part 2

In this batch of games, I missed what was potentially the battle for number one overall.  I'll delve into the game with greater detail below.

Cleveland at Chicago

The Bears did enough to win this game.  They held the ball for an additional 15 minutes, caused five turnovers, allowed less than 200 yards of offense, and only gave up one red zone possession.  However, they are some cracks in the armor.  They went just 22% in the red zone and allowed Jay Cutler to take seven hits.

Seattle at Dallas

Quietly, the Cowboys have become the hottest team in the NFL.  They went a perfect three for three in the red zone, held the ball for an additional ten minutes, had three quarterback sacks and were +1 in turnover differential.  If they want to stay hot, they have to keep Tony Romo on his feet, as he took eight hits yesterday.

St. Louis at Detroit

As I mentioned previously, this was the game I missed.  First, I believed that Calvin Johnson was going to play, and he didn't- a late scratch.  Detroit was better in the red zone and held the ball slightly longer.  St. Louis won this game because they outgained the Lions with more than 70 yards and they got a little bit of pressure on Matt Stafford, while keeping Marc Bulger clean.

Week 8 Game Review- Part 1

I went 8-4 on the Sunday games.  In this breakdown, the one game I missed was Denver and Baltimore.  I figured since both teams were coming off a bye, I could discount the home team advantage.  Boy, was I wrong!

Miami at New York Jets

If you told me that this would be another high-scoring game I would have laughed.  Both teams start inexperienced quarterbacks and tend to run the ball a lot.  Statistically, this was a strange game.  The numbers all slant in the Jets favor.  However, the return scores were the difference in the game.  In fact, Ted Ginn, Jr. gained more yards on his returns than the entire Miami offense.

New York Giants at Philadelphia

I thought the Eagles would win, but not in blowout fashion.  The Giants were actually effective in the red zone and held the ball 11 minutes longer, but the turnovers and the big play Philadelphia offense did them in.  Also, watching this game, Eli Manning looked shaky and uncomfortable, which led to many throws that should have been picked off, besides the two that were intercepted.  Two drops by Quinten Mikell come to mind.  All in all, it was consolation for Philly fans, as the World Series hasn't gone as planned.

Denver at Baltimore

As I mentioned at the top, this was the game I missed.  The number that stands out is the 200 yards of offense Denver generated.  Baltimore had nearly 100 more.  Add a +1 turnover differential, and its a recipe for a loss.

Houston at Buffalo

The numbers show that Houston dominated the Bills.  The Texans held the ball 18 minutes longer, gained 235 more yards, and had four red zone chances than their opponent.  If Houston does better than 60% in the red zone, it wins the game by a wider margin.  How about Ryan Moats coming off the bench and picking up this team.  Still, I'm a little worried about the hits Matt Schaub has been taking.  He took eight more yesterday, and he's had a history of injuries.  Hopefully, it's something they can fix to set up a playoff run.